The year 2011 that will be difficult for reinsurers
Reinsurers want to remain confident on the evolution of tariffs for 2011, while many observers are predicting a tough year for prices as for the results of the industry.
Like every year, major players in the reinsurance meeting in Monte Carlo to start negotiations on their rates have pleaded for the discipline and ensured that they would not engage in fierce competition, too anxious to preserve their underwriting profitability.
World number one industry, Munich Re, said it successfully maintain stable prices in general during the renewal of his treatises at the beginning of next year.
He also reported some increases in prices after the sinking of an oil platform in the Gulf of Mexico and the earthquake in Chile.
The French Scor, world number five, was also wanted optimistic, recognizing that customers were hard in business.
"We hope that the January renewals will be at prices at least stable or rising slightly," said Denis Kessler Sunday, Group CEO, during a press conference.
But brokers, rating agencies and some industry observers believe that 2011 should believe, for the third consecutive year, result in lower premiums in the reinsurance damage.
FLEXIBILITY
Insurance companies, which transfer some of their risks to reinsurers – including in the coverage of natural disasters – are flexible about the proportion of risk they want to reinsure, by buying less when prices are high, said James Eck , senior credit analyst at Moody's.
"Insurers do not want to pay more and there may be considerable resistance to higher prices," he notes, adding that most insurance companies followed by rating agency plans to buy the same level protection or less this year compared to last year.
The offer also affects reinsurance prices and reinsurers have significant excess capital in order to underwrite the recovery after the financial markets occurred in 2009.
According to some estimates, the industry is over-capitalized approximately $ 13 billion.
"It is over-capitalized so that there is no major disaster," noted Michael O'Halleran, executive chairman of the world's number one insurance broker Aon Benfield.
Chris Klein, head of global markets at the competitor Guy Carpenter, "a loss of 20 to 30 billion dollars could stabilize the market."
Otherwise the rates should continue to erode in 2011, according to industry observers, who also anticipate further pressure on the profitability of reinsurers related to the low yields of their financial assets.