News – Business & Economi

The Scientific Council of indices for the Paris Stock Exchange has decided to withdraw Dexia and Lagardère CAC 40, which will be replaced by Natixis and Publicis, NYSE Euronext said Friday.

Dexia and Lagardere will be included in the index Next20, ante ACC with Edenred and Rhodia, while Atos Origin and Land Regions are withdrawn over Natixis and Publicis.

These decisions will take effect from the trading session of September 20, 2010, said Euronext, which manages the Paris, Brussels, Amsterdam and Lisbon, and the New York Stock Exchange now payday loans.

The Scientific Council of indices for the Paris Bourse meets four times a year.It decides the composition of indices taking into account market capitalization, volume and weight of the share float of securities.

Five values also incorporate the SBF 120 – Bull, Faiveley Transport, Medica, Ruby and Sequana, while six are removed – Beneteau, Bonduelle, French Cement, Euler Hermes, Sperian Protection and Vilmorin.

The decline in unemployment for the second consecutive quarter to hope that France moved into a sustained decrease, said Thursday Economy Minister Christine Lagarde.

The unemployment rate as defined in International Labour Office has declined to 9.3% and 9.7% in France with overseas in the second quarter against 9.5% and 9.9% in the first, announced Thursday INSEE.

"This is good news, especially now that a new repeating itself," said Christine Lagarde told Reuters.

"When is two consecutive quarters, there is reason to believe that not only stabilized but unemployment is perhaps past the right side of stabilization.People come, hopefully in permanently reducing unemployment. "

In a previous interview after the announcement of a decline in the number of jobseekers in Class A in July, 25 August Christine Lagarde had referred to "stabilize" trend that is becoming.

Asked to say at what level of growth in France was able to create lasting jobs, the economy minister said: "It is almost certain it was only 2% of net job creation sustainable, but look at the current period, to 1.4% pace of growth was the net creation of jobs.

"The French economy has created about 60.000 new jobs since the beginning of 2010 when it evolves at a rate of 1.4 to 1.5% growth, so somewhere between 1.5% and 2%, the French economy created jobs .

"What is important is that we can maintain this trend of declining unemployment and net creation of jobs," she added.

The government forecasts economic growth of 1.4% this year and 2.0% in 2011.

Warren Buffett has filed a formal offer for the purchase by Berkshire Hathaway of its 19.9% stake it does not already own in Wesco Financial.

Wesco, which is headquartered in Pasadena, California, is run by Charlie Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway.

The transaction in cash and stock should be around 500 million dollars (390 million euros) on the basis of book value at Wesco dated June 30His actual amount will be determined on the basis of the carrying value of the company at the time of the closing of the transaction Warren Buffett hopes that it will happen this year.

In a statement, Wesco said it had established a committee of three independent directors to consider the offer from Berkshire fast cash.There is no guarantee that the transaction is concluded, says the company is mainly active in insurance, furniture rental, and steel.

Warren Buffett, who is aged 80 years, has announced its intention to redeem the remaining Wesco August 26, which has resulted in a leap of 11.8% per share this year.

Wednesday, the stock closed up 46 cents at $ 363, giving the 19.9% stake coveted by Berkshire market capitalization of 514 million.

Berkshire had acquired 80.1% stake in Wesco there are more than 30 years. Charlie Munger, aged 86, is CEO of the group since 1984 and has parallel Vice-Chairman of Berkshire since 1978.

The Nikkei closed up 0.95% Friday, pending action by the Japanese authorities to stem the rising yen.

The Nikkei index closed at 8991.06 points and the broader TOPIX, took 0.96% to 819.62 points.

At midday, the Nikkei had yet descended to a lower conference room of 16 months.

According to Kyodo News, Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan was to hold a press conference Friday to outline the measures taken by the government to control the sudden appreciation of the yen.

The exporters, who are particularly affected by the rising yen, have therefore taken the colors, Honda Motor TDK and Advantest winner respectively 1.63%, 2.79% and 1.72% at closing.

Nissan Motor announced Wednesday that he still thought to exceed its goal of worldwide sales this year despite fears about the U.S. economic recovery, but he also warned against the effects of the current strength of the yen on its results.

"The stronger yen has a big impact on us.We will adopt measures to minimize cons-impact, "he told Reuters Insider assistant general manager, Toshiyuki Shiga, outside the auto show in Moscow.

He said that the cons-measures envisaged included an increase in imports of automotive components.

"We still do not change our earnings prospects but there are headwinds: the raw material costs rise, the yen appreciates (…) We have taken into account in our budget to a parity of 90 yen per dollar He is now at 83 yen, "he added.

While investors are hoping for a response from the Japanese authorities to contain the strong yen, Nomura Securities estimates that a rise of the yen against the dollar would result in a decrease of 0.9% of current earnings of major Japanese industrial groups fiscal year 2010-2011, which ends in March.

Nissan, the third Japanese automobile manufacturer, hopes to increase its market share globally this year with a growth of about 8% of its sales to 3.8 million vehicles, thanks to new versions of its small city Micra / March in his "crossover" Juke and other new models.

"Based on current trends, we can exceed our goal of global sales (3.8 million vehicles) if the market remains stable but the U.S. recovery is not expected to change very positively," said Toshiyuki Shiga.

Moreover, the CEO of Nissan in Russia, Francois Goupil de Bouille said it expects to double sales of the manufacturer on the Russian market to 100,000 vehicles this year, while all the Russian car market could reach two million units, after falling in 2009.

In late July, the Japanese group, in which Renault owns 43%, maintained its forecast of annual results due to uncertainties surrounding the outlook for global demand, despite the publication of its best quarterly operating profit for over two years.

While the earnings season ends business in the United States, optimism about the earnings outlook for the third quarter gradually eroded as investors fearing that the weak demand reflected by the indicators Macroeconomic weigh on sales and margins of listed companies.

While only a handful of companies in the Standard & Poor's 500 has not yet submitted its accounts, the average growth index of profits in the second quarter stood at 38.4% compared to the corresponding period of the Last year, according to data from Thomson Reuters.

Such performance is unlikely to be equaled in the third quarter.The estimates, which are currently still at the level they were in early July, predicting earnings growth of 24.9% over one year.

"It could well be one of the last quarter for which the results are as good as mine.There is already, for example, they slow down or they're to move downward for 2011, "said Pankaj Patel, analyst at Credit Suisse in New York.

If 75% of the S & P 500 have exceeded estimates in the second quarter, compared to an historical average of 62%, many observers believe that profit margins could well have peaked.

Productivity has in fact declined by 0.9% over the same period, suggesting that companies may well find themselves unable to maintain their level of profitability.

ESTIMATES TOO OPTIMISTIC?

The average margin for the S & P 500 was 8.9% in April-June, against 6.2% a year earlier, according to Howard Silverblatt, an analyst at Standard & Poor's.

The disappointing economic indicators published in recent weeks, particularly on the employment front, began to be integrated into the course: the S & P 500 has a 0.7% drop since July 12, the start of the season results .

"There are many headwinds (…) and if you start to take them into account, we see that some numbers may be too optimistic," said Alan Lancz, president of Alan B. Lancz & Associates, an investment consulting firm.

The second part of the earnings season has been worse than the first.Of more than 2,000 U.S. companies announced their accounts, more than 70% have exceeded analysts' estimates during the first half of the period of publication, but this ratio fell to 66% by the end of the season, according to analysts at the company Studies Bespoke Investment Group.

For the third quarter, the estimates should not change much more until early October.

"Unless exceptional economic event (…) a major change in numbers is unlikely" for at least several weeks, Judge John Butters, head of U.S. monitoring results, Thomson Reuters.

The restatement of financial results of listed companies has been a major driver of the rebound in the S & P 500 from the lowest 12 years hit early in March 2009 and since then, the index rose by 58%.

Several large European companies have released information Thursday surprisingly positive, triggering a sudden resurgence of investor confidence after months of pessimism fueled by the debt crisis and fears of an implosion of the euro area.

With these new found reassuring, have added good indicators for the month of July: further decline in unemployment in Germany and strong growth of economic sentiment in the euro area.

Economists point out however that this resurgence in good mood after the dark days of rumors of a default by Greece and other countries in the euro area should not be forgotten that economic recovery will be gradual given the austerity measures by several governments.

Among the big names who released Thursday, Publicis third global advertising agency, has raised its expectations for 2010 after having exceeded expectations in the first half to gain the favor of budgets and increased costs to its customers.

"Publicis has strengthened during the crisis," said chief executive Maurice Levy to the press.

"We really feel at the end of the economic crisis, or even having put completely behind us," he added.

These words are not isolated.

The Dutch group Randstad specializes in the interim, number two worldwide in its sector, said he did not see any sign of relapse of the economy.Companies are hiring, he said, particularly in Germany and France.

"GROWTH AROUND"

"We are seeing growth everywhere. Even in Greece, we see a normal development. We do not observe any signs of relapse," said Reuters chief financial officer, Robert-Jan van de Kraats.

The American Manpower, which carries the majority of its sales in Europe, acted last week did not see a downturn.

In the pharmacy, the French Sanofi-Aventis posted a higher quarterly earnings expectations – after Friday lowered its target EPS for 2010.His British rival AstraZeneca has posted higher profits.

The European chemical groups that have published their quarterly accounts have emerged Thursday globally strong results in favor of volume growth.BASF, the world first chemist, reported second quarter operating earnings adjusted for exceptional almost doubled to 2.2 billion euros, exceeding the consensus that gave it to 2.03 billion.

In Switzerland, Clariant has raised its annual recovery of the industrial sector and a weaker euro has boosted demand and that allowed him to reach a net profit in the second quarter, well below the consensus, however.

The German conglomerate Siemens Electrical has released an operating profit up 40% for its third fiscal quarter thanks to cost cuts and the weaker euro.

All these new feed more optimism among investors in Europe they appear a little less convinced of the strength of economic recovery in the United States.

The team responsible for global strategy at the UBS bank, raised its recommendation on Europe to "neutral", while she advised previously underweight assets of the region.

UBS said that the Ifo business climate in Germany, a closely watched index, in July recorded its biggest increase in 20 years, growth in gross domestic product in the United Kingdom grew at a rate twice higher than expected second quarter and the results of stress tests performed on the European banks have brought relief.

At the Deutsche Bank economist Gilles Moec wants cautious.

"There is no major change in the table macroeconomic background: we started to slow growth," said he.

The World Cup effect past the French household consumption of manufactured goods fell 1.4% in June and fell 0.9% on the entire second quarter, posting INSEE.

The disappointing figures, well below expectations, suggest a decrease in consumption of all households in the second quarter, including services and supply, which would be a first for two years.

Twenty-three economists polled by Reuters predicted an average increase of 0.2% in June, with estimates ranging from -1.8% to +1.0%.Initially announced at 0.7%, May's increase was revised to 0.6% after a decline of -1.4% in April.

Since the beginning of the year, spending on manufactured goods have registered only two months of increases in March and May The decrease of 0.9% over the entire second quarter followed a 1.9% decline in first.

"The consumer was dynamic in the last quarter of 2009 was considerably weakened when it has always been the mainstay of the business in France.It is a real concern, "said Dominique Barbet, economist at BNP Paribas.

In June, it is the consumer electronics and clothing that have seen their sales drop, taking over auto sales down sharply in early years after the decline of the "scrappage".

After a jump of 6.4% in May, largely due to purchases of televisions before the World Cup in South Africa, the post of home furnishings fell 3.6% in June, biggest drop since November 2002.

For the sole property of consumer electronics, the decline was 3.7% after a surge of 12.4% in May

DROP IN THE CAR Dyked

Spending on textiles and leather have in turn fell 5.0% in anticipation of summer sales that began June 30, five days later than in 2009, but this schedule gives hope for a rebound in July.

For the quarter, the home furnishings rose 3.0% but textiles and leather down 2.8%.

The decline in car sales for its part was contained in June (0.0% after -0.3% in May and -9.2% in April) but the decline reached 8.4% in the quarter, after already a fall of 11.5% in the first quarter.

The 0.9% decline in spending on manufactured goods in the second quarter fears of a decline in overall consumption, for the first time since the second quarter of 2008 when it fell by 0.1%, said Dominique Barbet.

Purchases of manufactured goods account for about one quarter of total household consumption of goods and services, which is much less volatile statistics and published quarterly in the national accounts framework.

In the first quarter, it had stagnated (0.0%), lower than 1.9% of purchases of manufactured goods was offset by an increase in individual consumption of energy.

INSEE, in his memo on the economy published in June, sees yet remain stalled in the second quarter before a rise of 0.3% in the next two quarters.

"The stabilization of consumer sentiment was announced yesterday is quite encouraging, but the outlook remains weak and not with this level of consumption we can expect 1.5% or 2.0% growth," observes the economist of BNP Paribas.

"Household consumption in manufactured goods grows with a horizontal trend since the first half of 2007, although movements in the car drove the second half of 2009," said Philippe Waechter, director of economic research at Natixis Asset Management.

"In relation to a consumer confidence still low, reflecting concerns about jobs and taxes, we can not imagine a rebound coming and it will penalize significantly the growth momentum in the second half."

Like the European stock markets, Wall Street fell heavily on Tuesday because of a resurgence of fears about the budgetary problems of the eurozone when approaching an important deadline that expects European banks Thursday.

In this concern, which brought down the S & P 500 in a session low of 2010 has added the announcement of the sharp drop in U.S. consumer confidence, a statistic that raises questions about the strength of the recovery U.S. economy.

The Dow Jones 30 industrials surrendered 2.65% or 268.22 points to 9870.30. The S & P 500 is broader, lost 33.33 points, or -3.10%, to 1041.24.The Nasdaq Composite fell on its side of 85.47 points (-3.85%) to 2135.18.

This is the first time since June 9 as the Dow and the Nasdaq finished respectively in the 10,000 and under the 2,200 points while the S & P 500 closed at lowest close since the beginning of the year.

Speakers also noted that the S & P 500 broke through the key threshold 1040.78, which until now was the previous low of 2010, thus raising concerns of a further decline of this index in the short and medium term.

The stock market decline began in Asia, has increased in Europe and has also hit Wall Street, where the financial and industrial stocks were the hardest hit.

The CBOE Volatility Index, also known as "index of fear" has surged 17.69% to 34.13, its highest level since early June

Investors have questioned the soundness of the European banking system before a return of 442 billion euros that banks should proceed with the European Central Bank on Thursday.

U.S. consumer confidence as measured by the index of the employers' organization Conference Board, sank in June after three consecutive months of increases, due to concerns related to employment.

Another sign of concern, the Conference Board has revised downward its leading indicator for China in April: it is up more than 0.3% against 1.7% previously announced.

"Investors are holed up in hiding at the slightest problem. This is not a good sign. They are not being spent – there is no fluidity in the movement of money," said Joe Saluzzi, co-director of trading at Themis Trading.

The KBW banking index plunged 4.43%, with JP Morgan Chase yielding 3.84% to 37.06 dollars, Bank of America 4.4% to 14.57 dollars and Wells Fargo 4.07% at 25 $ 93.

Among the heavy industry, Boeing has lost 6.33% to 63.04 dollars, Caterpillar 5.51% to 60.85 dollars.

The effort to reduce tax loopholes, covering five billion euros for the period 2011-2013, may be increased to 8.5 billion euros if the situation requires it, said François Fillon.

At a press conference, the Prime Minister said that "further efforts" would be decided by the government if growth is below its forecast.

The government expects 1.4% growth in gross domestic product (GDP) in 2010 and 2.5% in 2011.

It is too early to consider amending the forecast "for 2011, said Francois Fillon, but stressed that" a rebound "often followed a crisis.