The Spanish Minister of Economy admitted on Monday that the country had fallen into recession for the second time since 2009, as investors demanded higher yields to buy debt securities the country.
Official figures on gross domestic product (GDP) of the Spanish first quarter of 2012 will not be published before April 30. The Minister of Economy, Luis de Guindos, however, said that the Spanish economy should be in the first quarter contraction similar to the last quarter of 2011, which was 0.3 % over the third quarter.
Two successive quarters of declining GDP correspond to the technical definition of recession, which was widely anticipated in Spain.
According to the minister, who gave an interview to El Mundo, the decline will however not as serious as feared.
"If you had asked me this question two months ago, I would have thought the first quarter of 2012 would have been much worse than the last quarter of last year. But this does not happen, "said Luis de Guindos
" For now, I see a first quarter like the last quarter of last year. "
These words fall in line with other recent statements by government members, suggesting Spain is in recession again
. The rightwing government of Mariano Rajoy has committed to undertake significant budget cuts. But, the markets, there is concern growing that the recession makes it impossible to goals of deficits and that Spain should seek international assistance in one form or another, to ; like Greece, Ireland and Portugal.
Yields of Spanish debt to ten years have passed Monday morning above 6% for the first time since the beginning of the year, while the Spanish CDS reached new records.
CRISIS MODE
"We returned a crisis mode," said Lyn Graham Taylor, a specialist rates to Rabobank. "It seems increasingly likely that Spain would have to resort to some form of rescue. If there is no intervention (ECB), there will be no ceiling to Spanish yields . They will just keep climbing. "
The Spanish economy is in contraction or stagnation since the bursting of the real estate to ; re in 2008. While housing prices are still falling, the survival of some banks and the new government's ability to control its finances are subject to debate.
The Popular Party (PP), which won elections in November against the Socialists in place, has taken a number of measures to reduce the deficit Spanish, one of the highest the euro area.
But confidence in the ability of President Mariano Rajoy of the Government to work within budgetary limits of the euro area was tested when the head Government has unilaterally lowered the deficit target in 2012 beginning in March, which was strongly up the risk premium on Spanish debt.
The Minister of Economy also said that the government would take further measures to help small and medium enterprises solvent to obtain credit from banks.
Moreover, the government could get involved in finances too spendthrift regions as early as May, said on Monday with the government.
If Spain has largely missed its target deficit for 2011 is largely due to the expense of regions. The 17 Spanish autonomous regions must reduce its public deficit to 1.5% of GDP in 2012, against 2.9% last year.
A law is being voted in parliament to give the central government the power to punish regions that did not comply with the objectives of deficit narrowed.