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The series of elections on Sunday to test the austerity policies in the euro area opens a new period of political uncertainty and risk of reviving the sovereign debt crisis, reinforcing the need a growth initiative whose principle has gradually established itself.

The victory of the socialist candidate for the French presidential election of Nicolas Sarkozy is the eleventh leader of the ousted euro area since the outbreak of the crisis and the implementation of austerity policies imposed by Germany and aimed at the curb. 

"I'm sure in many European countries Caa was a relief, a hope, that finally the idea of ​​austerity could no longer be inevitable "said Francois Hollande, in a speech at his election night.

"That's what I say as soon as possible to our European partners and first in Germany," he said.

Francois Hollande has been negotiating a pact designed to complement growth of the fiscal pact, signed in early March by 25 of the 27 countries of the European Union, a of his campaign themes. 

His election of Francois Hollande with 51.6% against 48.4% in the outgoing President Nicolas Sarkozy, argued that German Chancellor Angela Merkel does not lift all the political uncertainties that will last at least until the legislatures of 10 and 17 June

In Greece, the results of parliamentary elections confirm the expected scenario of a sharp fall in two main formations.

The conservative New Democracy and PASOK Socialists, who run alternately in decades, pay their support for draconian austerity measures taken since early 2010 in exchange for international financial assistance. 

SETBACKS FOR MERKEL

The breakthrough of the Coalition of the Radical Left hostile to the austerity and the entry of small parties in parliament, whose far-right "Golden Dawn", will make very difficult to find a majority and likely to fuel speculation about a renegotiation of the latest bailout plan or to an output of Greece in the euro area.

Fears deemed excessive by the economists of the investment bank Barclays Capital who point out that the Greeks remain overwhelmingly favorable to the euro but do not rule out political instability that would require the new elections later this year. 

"The risk is that non-European investors found a mistrust vis-à-vis the euro area rather marked," however, warns Philippe Waechter, an economist of the company ; Management Natixis Asset Management.

In Germany, the Christian Democrats (CDU) suffered another setback in losing the electoral state of Schleswig-Holstein region where the formation of Merkel saved her worst score since 1950.

The vote next week in the Land of North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany's most populous nation, will also be closely watched to assess the popularity of the policy conducted by the Chancellor and the accession of German voters to European solidarity. 

The partial municipal Italy, which will continue Monday, are a test on more than nine million voters, or 20% of the electorate, the government expert Mario Monti, again full cure austerity.

The first election of the post-Berlusconi give the measure of the distrust of the Italians against their political leaders to a year of parliamentary elections in May 2013.

The electoral cycle in May will end with the Irish referendum on the new European fiscal pact, already ratified by three EU countries including Greece.

SHORT RESPITE

After a short respite allowed by the injection of more than one.000 billion euros of liquidity between late December and early March by the European Central Bank, tensions on sovereign debt are quickly reappeared.

Investors are worried because of the growing political and social pressure against austerity plans which they fear above all that they do not favor a relapse into recession economies most weakened by the crisis and with them the entire euro area.

If Spain, officially fallen into recession in first quarter, is in sight, the gap between the wages offered by the sovereign debt of Germany and that of almost all ; other European countries has increased in recent weeks. 

European policymakers have however begun to recognize and formally accept a lesson of economic history that no country wants out of a debt crisis by focusing only on austerity, this strategy has always resulted in either a depression or a default.

From the European Council in January and more at the March, the EU officials had stressed the need to complement fiscal consolidation by "measures determined ; are to stimulate growth and employment ". 

They had then discussed several tracks, as a better mobilization of structural funds, a means of strengthening the European Investment Bank or the possibility of bond issues at European level in order facilitate private financing of major projects, referring to the definition of terms in June of that support growth.

The willingness of the new French president throughout his campaign to promote European growth initiative in this context had met with a favorable in both countries weakened ; s like Italy and the European Commission but also in Germany and even the European Central Bank (ECB). 

Its intention to renegotiate the pact budget has however met with strong opposition, especially from Germany who does not intend to return to the priority given to fiscal consolidation.

His call for a more active role for the ECB to stimulate the economy through lower interest rates or direct loans to countries in difficulty also faces hostility from Germany.

POSSIBLE COMPROMISE

Even before his election, Francois Hollande, however inflected speech suggesting that the renegotiation of the pact would be part of budget negotiations with its European partners. 

The president-elect has also been careful to avoid referring to possible Eurobonds, of which Germany does not want to hear because they would constitute a first step towards pooling of European public debt that Berlin rejects.

Francois Hollande now prefers to discuss project requirements, an expression consistent with that used by other heads of state and government of the EU.

A compromise is therefore possible, but the size and financing of a possible growth strategy remain unclear. 

A mounting tensions on sovereign debt would leave the ECB in the immediate front line but also exacerbate the pressure for a stronger commitment on his part to alleviate the costs of funding all States in the euro area and encourage growth.

If he felt that the euro area needed a "Growth Pact", the ECB president also stressed that support for the activity should not be detrimental fiscal discipline.

"Recent comments by Mario Draghi, defending the idea of ​​a growth strategy implemented by European governments is primarily a way to avoid a debate on the mandate of the ECB could be refocused on growth, "say the economists and Exane BNP Paribas.

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German Chancellor Angela Merkel is opposed to programs to support economic activity in Europe but it is ready to discuss a strengthening of the European Investment Bank Investment Bank (EIB), she says in an interview published Wednesday in the daily Hamburger Abendblatt.

She explains that in his view, the growth can not depend solely on stimulus costly for public budgets.

"It is important that we distance ourselves vis-à-vis the idea that you should always spend money to get economic growth," she said, according to excerpts from the interview released before its publication. 

"Sustainable growth is based more on education and research and innovation capacities of SMEs."

Germany, who had fought the 2008-2009 recession with a stimulus package of 81 billion euros, took the lead of states shifting the focus to fiscal austerity measures against ; the sovereign debt crisis.

But an increasingly hostile public opinion and certain officers to austerity in several countries in the euro area has reopened the debate on the advisability of measures to support growth . 

In France, the favorite for the second round of presidential elections, the socialist Francois Hollande, wants to engage if elected Sunday a renegotiation of the European fiscal pact meant facilitate the reduction of deficits. It also advocates that the European Central Bank (ECB) do more to support economic activity.

Angela Merkel warned against any relaxation of the fiscal pact, it is preferable to consider measures mobilizing "political courage and creativity more than billions."

She argues for including the removal of barriers to youth employment and the strengthening of vocational training systems, to further open the labor market. 

Repeating remarks already held the last weekend in another interview to the press, she told the Hamburger Abendblatt that Germany was in favor of strengthening resources EIB, the financing arm of the European Union in the field of investments, as well as a more flexible use of EU structural funds.

Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker, who chairs the Eurogroup of finance ministers ruled Monday as possible an increase of 10 billion euros from the EIB's capital.

European shares closed Wednesday up sharply, the results found solid companies' published eclipsing concerns about the debt crisis in the eurozone.

The CAC 40 index, which had ended with a gain of 2.29% Tuesday, ended up 2.02% to 3233.46 points.

The Frankfurt Stock Exchange rose 1.73%, that of Madrid by 1.7% while the London market (0.16%) suffered from the recession back to the UK economy .

In this context, cyclicals and financials were particularly popular, pan-European Stoxx index of bank earning 1.86% in the provisional closure and the auto 3 , 05%, fastest growing sector in Europe.

The Prosecutor General of the Supreme Court has definitively cancel the condemnation of Total over 12 years near the wreck of the tanker Erika off the Brittany coast in 1999, which caused ; a major ecological disaster.

This 24-year-old ship broke in two on 12 December 1999 in a storm and sank, spilling 20,000 tonnes of fuel on 400 km of the Breton coast, killing dozens thousands of birds and ravaging the seabed.

The prosecution based its opinion on the fact that the disaster has not occurred in French waters but "exclusive economic zone" (EEZ), and that the ship flew the Maltese flag, which would remove any possibility of prosecution in criminal justice. 

The Court of Cassation, the highest French court, which will meet May 24 and will make the final decision after a deliberate, however, is not bound to follow the opinion of floor, reading was revealed by Liberation and Ouest-France.

The public prosecutor asked the permanent cancellation without retrial, the conviction for "marine pollution" of the first French company announced after two die decisions at first instance and on appeal in 2008 in 2010.

In addition to the Total group, sentenced to a fine of 375,000 euros, Rina, the Italian maritime regulatory body which gave its airworthiness certificate to the ship (175.000 euro fine), Giuseppe Savarese, a former Italian owner of the ship, and Antonio Pollara, Italian former manager of the Erika (75,000 euro fine each) were convicted in appeal.

The lower courts have so far retained the right of other interpretations. The plaintiffs believe that the French territory was hit by the effects of the offense is sufficient to render the French competent judges.

THE ENVIRONMENTAL DAMAGE IN DANGER

The floor of the Court of Cassation also recommends abandoning the notion of "environmental damage" introduced in 2008 by the trial judgment that can demand compensation for environmental damage , as well as for moral harm, economic or property.

After a review of the complex thicket of international conventions governing shipping, the prosecutor's office believes it is impossible to legalize this notion. 

Corinne Lepage, one of the lawyers of the plaintiffs and former environment minister, said that it was here that a notice and hoped that the Court would not follow him.

"It would be a double disaster legal, not for the common (…) but in terms of law in general because it means that charterers could continue to take as Total boat was rotten like the Erika for reasons of pure greed and polluting the coast without nothing happens, "she said on RTL. 

NO EFFECT ON PAYMENTS

The folder is marked from the beginning by a very complex debate, shipping is governed by a series of international conventions and national laws very bushy, with idé e general far as the charterer of a tanker is in principle not liable criminally or civilly.

The Court of Appeal had also, on this point, not fully completed the first judgment, concluding that Total was guilty but not criminally responsible civilly.

This point has not had an immediate effect because Total has already paid in 2009 without possible cancellation of 170 192 500 000 compensation ordered in the first instance in 2008, 153 for the state. Rina has paid the surplus, and an "extension" decided on appeal where the total bill rose to 200.6 million euros.

Total said it would ask for a refund, whatever the final decision to the Supreme Court, where lawyers of some 80 civil parties, municipalities, regions, departments and advocacy groups the environment will plead.

French society has always said he was the victim of a "hidden defect" of the boat, never a thesis accepted by the court. 

Given another 200 million euros paid by the company in 1999, including the cleaning of beaches and pumping oil from the wreck, the total bill to stu ve for it to nearly 400 million euros, an amount limited compared with the annual profit of nearly $ 12 billion company.

The Bank of England (BoE) kept no surprise Thursday its key rate to 0.5%, its level since March 2009, and left unchanged the amount of its program of asset purchases, while the multiply signs heralding a return to growth of the UK economy.

All economists polled by Reuters had expected the central bank does not increase its program of "quantitative easing" (QE) beyond the 325 billion pounds (394 billion euros ) previously announced.

Recent indicators, including the latest PMI figures released this week, seemed to reflect a rebound in activity after the contraction of the last quarter of 2011. 

But British manufacturing output posted its biggest drop in nearly a year in February (-1.0%), taking forecasters against the foot.

Industrial production, wider, however, remained on an upward trend, which should be sufficient to ensure an increase in gross domestic product in the first quarter after the contraction experienced in late 2011.

Economists now monitor the evolution of inflation, still above the 2% target of the central bank and that it could announce an extension of buyback program securities.

A 10.8% of the workforce, the unemployment rate in the euro area in February reached its highest level in fifteen years. An employment agency in Malaga. Spain has an unemployment rate above 20%

This is a direct consequence of the crisis and the lack of growth. The unemployment rate in the euro area in February reached its highest level in fifteen years, to 10.8% of the workforce, according to data Monday from the EU statistics office, Eurostat.

According to Eurostat calculations, 17,130,000 people were unemployed in February in the euro area, or 162,000 more than the previous month. This level ever since the creation of the euro area exceeds forecasts of analysts polled by Dow Jones Newswires who had forecast an unemployment rate of 10.7% in February, as the previous month.

This is the tenth consecutive month in which unemployment has reached or exceeded the threshold of 10% in the euro area. Result: the euro zone now has 1.476 million more people unemployed than a year earlier.

Throughout the European Union (EU), the unemployment rate rose to 10.2% in February against 10.1% in January. This is also setting a record, said Eurostat. Once again, Spain is the bad boy of the EU with an unemployment rate of 23.6% followed by Greece with 21% (where the latest data refer to December), Portugal (15%) and Ireland (14.7%). In Italy, unemployment reached a record high of 9.3% in February.  

In contrast, the unemployment rate the lowest were recorded in Austria (4.2%), Netherlands (4.9%), Luxembourg (5.2%) and Germany (5.7%) .

Unemployment in Germany fell in March to 6.7%, its lowest level since the reunification of the country, a decline which heightens the contrast between Europe's largest economy and its neighbors and should support both consumption and wage demands.

The number of job seekers decreased by 18,000 over the past month, its fifth straight decline, returning to 2.841 million according to figures adjusted for seasonal variation (CV) published ; s Thursday by the Federal Labour Office.

This decrease is more pronounced than expected since the 35 economists polled by Reuters had expected a decline of 10,000. 

"The resilience of the German labor market bodes well for private consumption in the first half," commented Carsten Brzeski, economist at ING.

"The mild weather in March and almost unwavering optimism of entrepreneurs seem the main drivers of the improvement of the fall in unemployment announced today."

These figures are good news for the German finance minister, Wolfgang Schaeuble, whose estimates are based largely on increased tax revenues.

They also enhance the contrast between Germany and France, where the numbers of unemployment in February hit their highest level since October 1999. 

While the German population is nearly 30% higher than the French, the number of jobseekers CVS is now lower than that of unemployed Class A in the Hexagon.

SALARY INCREASES OF POSSIBLE

4%

If the German economy, driven by exports, has recovered quickly from the 2008-2009 financial crisis, it has not escaped the relapse caused the end of 2011, contracting by 0.2% in the fourth quarter due to the debt crisis in the euro area and its impact on global demand. 

It seems to be resurged since the beginning of this year, which led several economic research institutes to raise their growth projections and e ; housing with near certainty the hypothesis of a new recession (two consecutive quarters of declining GDP).

Buoyant labor market in this climate generally heckled favored improving consumer confidence, rising in six of seven months as the barometer of the GfK. 

The decline in unemployment has led parallel to the German unions claim higher wages after several years of rigor in this area: the central Verdi and IG Metall and ask one the other increases of 6.5% for the approximately five million workers they represent.

For Christian Schulz, an economist at Berenberg Bank, wage growth is "inevitable" because of tensions on the labor market.

"While it is unlikely that requests for increases of 6% are accepted, agreements with increases of 4% are possible," said he. "With inflation back to 2.1% in March, wage increases may provide important new welcome boost to consumer spending."

Many economists note, however, that the downward trend in unemployment slows as lessens the impact of reforms implemented in recent years to increase the flexibility of the labor market .

The Tokyo Stock Exchange ended down Monday on profit-taking after gaining 3.7% during the previous two sessions and over 17% since the beginning of year.

The Nikkei lost 39.88 points (0.4%) to 9,889.86. Topix abandons 3.43 points (0.4%) to 845.28.

The Nikkei has reached in a meeting peak of 10,021.51, the highest since August 2011.

Salzgitter, the second German steelmaker, on Monday issued a pretax profit increased fourfold, as expected by investors, but warned that the year 2012 would not as favorable as 2011, a forecast that is significantly reducing its share price.

The title fell by 5.16% to 42.97 euros at 8:22 GMT, while the Dax gave up 0.69% and the sector index Stoxx 600 Basic Resources yielded 1.47%.

Salzgitter said he expects this year to at least stable sales and a positive taxable income, while explaining that it would be "difficult" to do as well in 2011.

Last year, pretax profit rose to 201.6 million euros against 49 million in 2010, a result consistent with its forecast in Reuters poll, which gave 196 million . 

ThyssenKrupp, the German number one steel, has plunged into the red last three months of 2011 and was told last month unable to provide reliable predictions for all of its 2011 fiscal year -2012, which ends in September, due to economic uncertainties.

Fiat-Chrysler is working to find new partners in the automotive industry, said Tuesday Sergio Marchionne, CEO of Italian carmaker and CEO of its ally im Rican.

"We took action," he said in Brussels at an event organized by the European Automobile Manufacturers Association. "We can be an active partner throughout the world."

Sergio Marchionne has long argued already for reconciliations of carmakers to reduce their development costs and production.

Asked if he was looking for a European partner, he replied that "there are a lot more."

"I'm interested in everybody," he added.

With regard to Asia, especially Suzuki and Mazda, he said that there were "many opportunities to explore, including the following."

Sergio Marchionne has also reacted to the announcement of a possible alliance between General Motors and PSA Peugeot-Citroen.

"It is crucial that the European situation is treated. If the hypothetical alliance materializes, I hope he will consider the issue of overcapacity. "