News – Business & Economi

American investigative journalist Edward Epstein published a survey in which it reveals new details about the case of the Sofitel. He was convinced that Dominique Strauss-Kahn was the victim of a conspiracy. The case was carried from Paris. Former IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn (by leaving the financial police in Paris September 29, 2011)

The case of the Sofitel New York, which marked the end of the presidential ambitions of Dominique Strauss-Kahn, had a new twist Saturday, reviving questions about the possibility of a trap, already mentioned by close to Former IMF chief.In this investigation, the AFP was able to consult, the American journalist argues that the BlackBerry DSK could have been hacked.

Edward Epstein expressed confidence that "tried to derail" the candidacy of Dominique Strauss-Kahn, but declined to talk about "political conspiracy" created from scratch, in an interview with AFP on Saturday. In an interview on Europe 1 audio, it reaffirms that it is a conspiracy: "It is much like a political issue, but I do not have certainty," said he. "If it's a political issue, it's a matter of French politics. I think it came from Paris. It may come from the UMP, it can come from the secret services, that can even come from someone who s 'interested in the activities of the IMF. "

The UMP denies any involvement

On May 14, Dominique Strauss-Kahn called his wife Anne Sinclair told him that "something bad happened."

International creditors of Greece did not convince the leader of the Conservatives Saturday, Antonis Samaras, engage in writing for the austerity measures required for new aid.

The leader of New Democracy, one of three teams who sit in the national unity government led by Lucas Papademos, reiterated that his word was enough and that a written guarantee was unnecessary.

European leaders are concerned that the parties are reluctant to implement unpopular reforms before the elections on February 19.

Antonis Samaras has already announced that it was an absolute majority at the polls to renegotiate the terms of the European aid plan.Creditors are willing to block eight billion euros needed to Athens to avoid default next month.

Representatives of the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) also met with former Prime Minister George Papandreou, leader of the Socialist Party (PASOK), which had no comment.

They should also meet Sunday with Georgios Katzaféris, leader of the far-right party Laos, the third member of the coalition.

"THERE WILL BE A SOLUTION"

In an interview with the weekly Sunday Real News, the leader of Laos suggests that it will sign a written undertaking.

"Do we need the money or not? If the answer is no, we do not sign.

Antonio Borges, director of the Europe Department International Monetary Fund (IMF), has resigned with immediate effect, the Fund announced Wednesday.

The IMF notes that the Director General intends to appoint Christine Lagarde Reza Moghadam, Director of the current strategy to succeed Borges, effective Thursday.

Unilever issued a sales increase of 7.8% in the third quarter and expects margins stable or declining for the year 2011, experienced strong sales growth in emerging markets.

The manufacturer of soaps and mayonnaise has raised its prices by nearly 6%, while sales in countries such as India, Indonesia and Brazil have helped to offset difficult markets in Europe and the United States .

However, the group warned that its operating margin at constant perimeter and constant exchange rates would be stable or slightly declining over the year 2011 due to higher commodity prices.

On this basis, the Group reported a turnover up 7.8%, a performance better than the consensus of society, which provided an increase of 6.3%, following growth of 4.3% in the first quarter and 7.1% in the second.

The world's second largest home appliances Electrolux said Friday he would seek to further reduce its costs, adding an expected decline in demand in its key markets after announcing a drop in quarterly profit.

The group, which owns the brands Electrolux, AEG and Frigidaire, anticipating the year a decline in demand for appliances in Europe of around 1%, not a 1% increase as expected before.

It also expects that the demand in North America fell by 4-5%, against an increase of 3% previously expected.

The group reported a third quarter adjusted operating income of 1.10 billion kronor (122 million) against 1.98 billion a year earlier.

The Reuters gave 1.06 billion crowns.

"Demand has fallen in several major markets (…) southern Europe and the United States, when the cost of raw materials has increased," said its chief executive Keith McLoughlin.

"The third quarter results were affected by the continuing difficult market conditions."

Electrolux said in a statement it would continue to seek to optimize the use of production capacity in North America and Western Europe and also reduce overhead costs.

In Berlin, the worlds of energy and finance very seriously discuss the creation of a foundation that would take over the management of German nuclear power plants to improve the investment capacity of major operators in the renewable. A nuclear power plant in Bavaria.

The revelation of the existence of a project to create a "bad bank" to manage public the twilight of the 17 German nuclear power plants causes a controversy surrounding the funding of the output of nuclear power. In its edition of Friday, October 7, the business daily Handelsblatt confirmed that it held the plans for such a project. Developed by the investment bank Lazard, it is currently under discussion between government and big energy companies.According to the newspaper, the Bad Bank would take the form of a foundation to which we would transfer the management of power plants owned by EON, RWE, Vattenfall and EnBW, the four major German operators of nuclear power. The ultimate goal would be to delegate the responsibility of dismantling the foundation to restore financial credibility of their owners and thus increase their ability to invest in renewable energy.

The dismantling will cost 28 billion

The plan, which is still called "secret", poses the problem of financing the abandonment of nuclear energy in Germany. This abandonment, which requires to increase the share of renewables in the energy mix currently 20% German and 35 in 10 years, should cost around 250 billion euros, according to estimates by the state bank KfW.In ten years, Germany will therefore have to adapt its grid to the mode of decentralized production of renewable energy. Expensive sites such as strengthening the north-south but also the construction of many regional lines to low voltage are on the program, as well as the construction of new gas power plants and cogeneration and the erection of multiple wind farms and PV. Meanwhile, companies but also individuals should invest more in equipment and housing less voracious.Moreover, the cost of phasing out nuclear power plants was assessed at least 18 billion euros, which will add at least 10 billion for reprocessing and storage of radioactive fuel not included.

The development bank KfW has provided 100 billion euros over the next 5 years to meet the needs of corporate finance. But they and their shareholders, will also participate to a large extent these investments. However, the financial position of the four major energy producers in Germany has not improved since Angela Merkel urged the country to the output of nuclear power. The cessation of all nuclear power plants by 2022 will deprive them of lucrative profits. They also will have to invest heavily in non-polluting power plants and the production of renewable energy.

A very controversial Bed Bank

The predicted fall in profitability is not made to attract investors. Already, rating agencies have downgraded to EON and RWE, which in future will have to pay more for the money. Hence the idea of ​​the foundation. In the scenario described, operators freely transfer their plants in the foundation. It would become responsible for their management and their dismantling and storage of fuel. In return, the Foundation would benefit from the income generated by the plant operating until 2022. Nearly 15 billion euros. Or 13 billion euros less than the cost of decommissioning.The difference would be borne by the state in exchange for a recognition of debts that can not be deleted if these companies are investing in renewable much higher.

This is only for the moment that the outline of an unofficial plan but some find difficult to avoid. Michael Vassiliadis, president of the powerful union IG BCE Energy, believes it will be difficult to meet the challenge of phasing out nuclear power by passing capacity of large energy companies. But Ms. Bärbel Höhn, vice president of the Bundestag parliamentary group environmentalist, does not share this view: "I have rarely seen a plan as naive and transparent.This project led to the foundation of the risks that outsourcing will return to offer a lot of money to EON and RWE, "she said by stating that the plant operators had long been provisioned as are needed to decommissioning. As for Hermann Albers, President of Federation of the main companies in the wind (Bundesverband Windenergie), it considers that these plans are outrageous because again, "they are negotiated in secret" and "it is the consumer who will costs ":" The turning point energy can do without monopolistic structures. Its interest lies in the fact that it will promote a decentralized supply and promote competition, "he said.

Barack Obama lashed out at banks, on Thursday at a press conference at the White House, justifying the growing popular discontent against economic inequality.

The Democratic president, including the possible re-election in November 2012 will be played primarily on the fight against unemployment, said the Republicans had in the first place, to support the economy back on measures of financial regulation that his government s is used to push hard.

Barack Obama also said understand the frustration of "outraged" that manifest several days on Wall Street and in other cities of the United States.

"These demonstrators expressed a more widely shared suspicion towards the way our financial system," said Bush.

"We still see some of those who acted irresponsibly fight efforts to end abusive practices," he added.

Barack Obama said his financial reform known as the "Dodd-Frank" was precisely designed to prevent abuses of Wall Street.His way to insist on the subject suggests that this issue will be among the major themes of his presidential campaign next year.

"To have a sound financial system requires that banks and other financial institutions to compete on the basis of better service, better products and the best rate," he said.

"We can compete through hidden fees, deceptive practices or cocktails of derivatives that nobody understands and that expose the entire economy at huge risk.That's why Dodd-Frank was designed. "

Barack Obama also expressed regret that U.S. banks have recently raised their commissions, suspecting a practice necessitated by the inability to raise other rates. This is not a "good practice", he said, and it is "not necessarily just for consumers."

European shares ended Thursday in a disorganized, caught between the temptation to take profits after three sessions of consecutive increase and the positive impact of a U.S. ISM index better than expected, which eased fears of an entry in recession.

However, investors prefer to remain cautious on the eve of the release of U.S. employment figures for the month of August, a critical indicator, including the decision of the Federal Reserve to support the economy.

The CAC 40 index closed up 0.28% to 3265.83 points after fluctuating in both directions.Between 19 and 31 August, the benchmark index in Paris gained almost 8%.

Other major European markets, London was up 0.45% and Milan took 0.69%, while Frankfurt lost 0.94%. The pan-European Euro Stoxx 50 index ended up on its side up 0.16%.

"At first reading, the figure of the ISM has reassured the markets. However, some components are still of concern. In all, the deterioration of the U.S. economy is not as strong as feared by consensus a very bearish," said Arnaud Cayla, managing director at Barclays Wealth Managers France."However, the activity remains fragile," he adds.

"The market now could still bet on further steps at the next monetary policy meeting of the Federal Reserve, a feeling reinforced by the expansion confirmed inflationary pressures," he says.

Defensive stocks supported the rating.Repsol has made 2.44% to 20.560 euros, Deutsche Telekom 2.19% to 8.999 euros and Sanofi 1.5% 51.420 euros.

European banks have ended on a note with an irregular European sector index up by 0.99%.

In Paris, Crédit Agricole (-2.08% to 6.679 euros) suffered the second largest drop in the CAC 40.

The euro lost ground, trading at 1.42989 / 90 dollars, against 1.4374 the previous day about the end of the day.

Illustration of investor caution, the yield on German government bonds to 10 years is down to about 2.14% against 2.22% over the closing Wednesday.

European stock markets are expecting a strong signal on the governance of the euro area. German Chancellor has warned however that we should not expect the summit of spectacular announcements. President Nicolas Sarkozy meets with German Chancellor Angela Merkel Tuesday, August 16th at the Elysee Palace (both are here in Berlin July 20, 2011)

European shares opened slightly lower Tuesday, opting for caution before the Franco-German summit on the governance of the euro area. After three consecutive sessions of gains, Paris opened down 0.73%, 0.68% from London, Frankfurt 1.02%, Madrid and Milan by 0.65% to 0.28%. Monday, Paris won 0.78%, London 0.57%, 0.41% Frankfurt, Madrid 0.71% and 1.37% on the Swiss Exchange. New York has erased all its losses last week in garnering 1.90% for the Dow and 1.88% for the Nasdaq.

Global financial markets are also showing much more attentive Tuesday.Asian stock markets were the first very hesitant: Tokyo has ended up slightly from 0.23% after a session sawtooth and Sydney ended down slightly by 0.86%. Seoul, closed Monday, was an exception by closing up sharply from 4.83%.

All eyes are on the meeting between German Chancellor Angela Merkel and President Nicolas Sarkozy from 4:00 p.m. at the Elysee Palace in Paris. "The markets are expecting a very strong signal: Is there a pilot on the plane to govern the euro area? Will you finally speak with one voice in the Franco-German and stop to maintain the cacophony that lasts for months and madden investors? "asked a Paris-based analyst who requested anonymity.

But hopes could be quickly showered.Berlin has in fact warned that they should not expect miracles, especially not that the two largest economies in the euro zone agreed to set up Euro-bonds, which would be financially harmful to Germany .

"It seems that there is an acute attention paid to this appointment, and we believe that the margin for a big disappointment," warned analysts at MF Global. This meeting should ultimately focused on the governance of the euro area, following decisions taken by Heads of State and Government of the European end of July.

Still no agreement between the White House and Congress on raising the legal limit of debt. The prospect of a failure to pay the United States is increasing. At the risk of creating a shock wave in global finance. View of the Capitol, seat of Congress. At 15 days of the deadline of August 2, elected Democrats and Republicans do not agree on conditions for raising the U.S. debt ceiling.

In Washington, the pressure is increasing on the White House and Congress. For two weeks the deadline of August 2 to raise the legal ceiling of U.S. debt, the elected Democrats and Republicans still can not agree on the terms of such recovery. Result: the rating agencies threaten to impair the sovereign rating of the world's largest economy.

Why is it necessary to raise the ceiling of U.S. debt? Benchmarks

The U.S. public debt is around 100% of GDP, the deficit to 10%. In comparison, the French debt amounts to 2.5 trillion euros, or 85% of GDP, the deficit and 7%.

The debt ceiling is a maximum level of indebtedness, level regularly adjusted by the U.S. Congress since 1917. He was raised ten times over the past decade. Last time, in 2010, this ceiling was increased to 14 297 billion. Yet the level of U.S. debt has reached this limit in May. It is bypassed, since only by technical adjustments Treasury. But beyond the August 2, if the legal limit of debt is not raised, the U.S. will no longer honor their commitments.

What happens if the debt ceiling is not raised?

Specifically, the U.S. will not lift the markets the amounts needed to pay interest and renewal of their debt. The state must pay U.S. $ 30 billion monthly interest on the debt. They also need to refinance in August more than 500 billion dollars of debt. So the U.S. is lacking on some of their deadlines, or they sacrifice other spending. The first hypothesis would create such a shock wave throughout the international financial system that seems to be excluded. To honor the interests of their debt, the U.S. will have to cut spending. President Barack Obama spoke a non-payment of pensions for retirees and veterans – the state must pay $ 23 billion on Aug. 3 to Social Security for these payments.The U.S. Treasury announced meanwhile that the state must cut spending by 40% overnight, which is equivalent to 1.5 trillion dollars, or 10% of GDP.

Why Republicans and Democrats do not reach an agreement?

Democrats and Republicans oppose the plan to reduce the budget deficit, which conditions any agreement on raising the debt ceiling. Barack Obama is committed to savings. He even agreed to cut heavily in social spending, including health insurance. But it requires an offsetting increase in taxes for the wealthiest households and businesses. What the Republicans, including elected officials from the ultra-conservative movement of the "tea party" categorically refuse. They advocate on their side a more drastic reduction of public spending, the ceiling of 18% of GDP against 24% today.

A compromise is still possible?

The White House thought Sunday still possible to find a compromise with Congress to raise the debt ceiling of the federal state. "Things have progressed in recent days," assured Jacob Lew, director of the Office of Budget, one of the negotiators of Barack Obama. "The American political life is punctuated by psychodrama between the White House and Congress, said Christophe Desta, Deputy Director of the CEPII. It is possible that both sides reach an agreement on August 1 at midnight." Especially there is a backup solution, proposed by Republican Senator Mitch McConnell: a legislative maneuver allows the president to veto the congressional vote against raising the debt ceiling. This veto can be overturned as a two-thirds majority, the Republicans have not.Barack Obama might as well take it upon himself to raise the debt ceiling to 2.5 trillion dollars by 2012. It's better than nothing.

The "AAA" of the United States is threatened?

Yes, even if the debt ceiling is raised. Moody's and Standard & Poor's, which put the U.S. debt under pressure last week, have both said they expected a "credible plan" to reduce the deficit and debt in the medium term. S & P expects a budget saving of 4000 to 5,000,000,000,000 dollars over the next ten years. Now both agencies are skeptical of the likelihood of an agreement on a plan of fiscal consolidation between the government and the Congress in 2012, the year in the U.S. presidential election. The possibility that the United States lose their triple A is not excluded. This would have potentially disastrous effects.Not so much for the United States, which will continue to support the markets without difficulty, although it should be at a higher cost, but for the financial system as a whole. The U.S. Treasury is in fact the investment vehicle most prevalent in the world. The total amount of "Treasures" held by institutional investors (governments, central banks, banks, insurers, etc..) Reached $ 13.6 billion in late 2010. The loss of "AAA", indicating that the U.S. debt is no longer safe, would lead to a devaluation of the value of Treasury bonds, so the asset portfolio of most international financial players.