News – Business & Economi

The trade deficit of France fell to 3.796 billion euros from 5.179 billion in June (revised) the previous month, thanks to increased exports find their level two years ago, according to data CVS / OCJ posted Friday by Customs.

Throughout the first half, the deficit increased to 24.544 billion against 22.928 billion during the first six months of 2009, a decline due mainly to the increase in energy costs.

The deficit for June was better than expected – economists polled by Reuters expecting an average of 4.5 billion, the lowest estimate is 4.0 billion – and is explained by an increase of 10% exports.

The balance of May has additionally been revised downwards to 5.179 billion 5.500 billion instead of an initial estimate announced a month ago, but nonetheless the highest since October 2008.

Exports FOB data CVS / CJO jumped 10.2% to 33.016 billion euros in June against 29.948 billion in May, reaching their highest level since August and September 2008.

Imports were up to their side of 36.812 billion euros against 35.127 billion the previous month.

In the second quarter alone, exports rose 2.6%, after rising 5.1% the first three months of the year, while imports rose 7.4% after +2.1% within the scope of energy purchases.

SALES OF AIRBUS straighten

Improved trade balance in June was primarily due to exports of transport equipment. France has sold on July 26 Airbus which it earned 1.719 million euros against 19 aircraft to 1,050 million euros in May, combined to deliver a packet.

"The sales of transportation equipment, which fell 1.4 billion euros in May, are better than recover.Outside major contracts, industrial exports are also dynamic, "according to Customs in their commentary.

"Throughout the first half, the resumption of trade undertaken in late 2009 has intensified, not found for all the pre-crisis levels," added the administration.

Of these six months, exports rose 5.9% to 187.0 billion euros, compared with an increase of 3.9% in the second half of 2009.

After two semesters of decline, aerospace sales have rebounded by 10.4%, France has supplied over the period 141 Airbus worth 9.4 billion euros.

Automotive exports have, however, increased only 4.3% after rising by 19.5% in the previous semester when they had received "car scrapping" in most European countries.

The mechanical and electronic equipment, pharmaceuticals, intermediate goods (chemicals, metals), agricultural products and energy products have also been well directed, according to Customs figures.

REBOUND AMPLIFIED

Imports have increased their share from 7.4% in the first half, after +2.1% in the previous six months, mainly due to the depreciation of the euro has made it more expensive energy purchases paid in dollars.

The energy bill was so weighty $ 23.2 billion against 20.1 billion in the second half of 2009.

Excluding energy, the increase in imports is only 5.6%, after +2.2% in the second half of 2009, note Customs.

If it has increased the energy bill, the weaker euro has instead favored exports that show a 10% increase compared to the first six months of 2009.

"In the first half of 2010, the French foreign trade has amplified the rebound started in late 2009 by taking advantage of the upturn in world trade and strong demand from emerging countries," said Anne-Marie Idrac, Secretary of State Foreign Trade, in a statement.

"Exports rose to virtually all trading partners, with particular vigor to China or Brazil," she adds.

Towards Germany, the largest trading partner of France, exports grew by 8.5% in the first half.Those to Spain, however, fell 1.4%, reflecting the difficulties of this country is, after Germany and Italy, the third biggest market for French exports.

The press kit released by Bercy reported encouraging outlook for the rest of the year.

"France will continue to benefit, assuming a stabilization of the exchange rate of the euro, an enhanced price competitiveness, the effects on sales will be realized fully in the second half of 2010 and 2011, especially to large emerging markets, "it reads.

Sanofi-Aventis could make a first offer around $ 70 per share to acquire U.S. biotech Genzyme, analysts said.

Some consider that the French pharmaceutical group may raise its offer to $ 80.

Under cover of anonymity, one analyst said that "70 dollars would be a first offer" and that "at $ 80 it remains a good deal for Sanofi.

Same story for another sector specialist who believes that $ 80 "operation creates value in three years that will follow."

Citigroup, meanwhile, said that Sanofi will likely be the only buyer of American specialist on rare diseases and will pay between 74-77 dollars per share, or 19.7 to 20.5 billion dollars (15.0 to 15 6 billion euros).

Citi analysts consider that "insofar Sanofi may be the only buyer, and that shareholders are aware that Genzyme may fall into the lower half of the range of 50-60 dollars, unless an agreement is not passed the matter will be at 74-77 dollars. "

They add that the French lab could launch a hostile bid if Genzyme resists and present its offer directly to shareholders.

The shareholder Relational Investors, Carl Icahn, who hold respectively 3.8% and 4.9% from Genzyme, could be satisfied with an offer around $ 75 since they bought at 61 and 54 dollars, says Citi.

Sanofi, an agreement would be $ 75 4% accretive in 2011 and 13% in 2013, analysts have calculated the Citi.

At Raymond James, Eric Le Berrigaud doubt that "70 dollars is sufficient.Starting at $ 70, is ready to go up to $ 80, "he notes." And at 80 dollars it is not certain whether all the guarantees of success since c is roughly the level or was action before Genzyme's production problems.

The biotech has enjoyed last year a series of production problems on its sites in the U.S., which continue to weigh on its business.

"SANOFI PREFERRED FINANCIAL LOGIC"

A fourth analyst insists that Sanofi is expected to launch its bid for Genzyme even if it does not create value for the group's objective is to increase its earnings per share.

"For the operation to bring value, it should pay less than $ 70 per share, or about 64 dollars," he says."If Sanofi launches operation beyond, is that the group favors a financial logic in the short to medium term to close down its results and not the logic of value creation."

For him, "the title Genzyme could return to $ 80 after the settlement of industrial problems, but very transient because its treatment of Gaucher's disease could soon be rivaled.

Sources familiar with the case, it said last week that Sanofi intended to send a letter to Genzyme with the terms of its offer.This offer would be like "bear hug", that is to say friendly at first but may become hostile if necessary.

The Board of Directors of Sanofi has authorized a $ 18.7 billion dollars, said last week, sources familiar with the matter. But Sanofi has financial guidelines allowing it to raise its offer, that is to say, to bring more than $ 70 per share, said a source.

The experts, anyway, that Genzyme is a suspect "white knight" to deal with Sanofi.

A spokesman for the Financial Markets Authority said that the French system which requires an initiator to declare his intentions in certain conditions if the rumors do not apply when the target is foreign.In this case, the law of the country in which the target company is applying, "she added.

The action dealt Genzyme Monday up 0.5% to 69.93 dollars in early afternoon on Wall Street. In Paris, the title Sanofi closed at 45.4 euros (1.88%).

Merck reported a quarterly results better than expected thanks to strong demand for its treatment fighting against diabetes, arthritis or AIDS.

Excluding items, profit U.S. lab amounts to 86 cents per share while analysts polled by Thomson Reuters I / B / E / S had forecast 83 cents.

In total, net income fell to 752 million or 24 cents per share.In the second quarter of 2009, it was 1.56 billion or 74 cents a share.

Merck has taken control of his compatriot Schering-Plough in November for $ 41 billion.

For the year, Merck now expects EPS of 3.29 to 3.39 dollars per share, excluding special items, a slight adjustment from its previous forecast of 3.27 to 3.41 dollars.

In pre-market, Merck was down 2.2% to 34.29 dollars.

Several large European companies have released information Thursday surprisingly positive, triggering a sudden resurgence of investor confidence after months of pessimism fueled by the debt crisis and fears of an implosion of the euro area.

With these new found reassuring, have added good indicators for the month of July: further decline in unemployment in Germany and strong growth of economic sentiment in the euro area.

Economists point out however that this resurgence in good mood after the dark days of rumors of a default by Greece and other countries in the euro area should not be forgotten that economic recovery will be gradual given the austerity measures by several governments.

Among the big names who released Thursday, Publicis third global advertising agency, has raised its expectations for 2010 after having exceeded expectations in the first half to gain the favor of budgets and increased costs to its customers.

"Publicis has strengthened during the crisis," said chief executive Maurice Levy to the press.

"We really feel at the end of the economic crisis, or even having put completely behind us," he added.

These words are not isolated.

The Dutch group Randstad specializes in the interim, number two worldwide in its sector, said he did not see any sign of relapse of the economy.Companies are hiring, he said, particularly in Germany and France.

"GROWTH AROUND"

"We are seeing growth everywhere. Even in Greece, we see a normal development. We do not observe any signs of relapse," said Reuters chief financial officer, Robert-Jan van de Kraats.

The American Manpower, which carries the majority of its sales in Europe, acted last week did not see a downturn.

In the pharmacy, the French Sanofi-Aventis posted a higher quarterly earnings expectations – after Friday lowered its target EPS for 2010.His British rival AstraZeneca has posted higher profits.

The European chemical groups that have published their quarterly accounts have emerged Thursday globally strong results in favor of volume growth.BASF, the world first chemist, reported second quarter operating earnings adjusted for exceptional almost doubled to 2.2 billion euros, exceeding the consensus that gave it to 2.03 billion.

In Switzerland, Clariant has raised its annual recovery of the industrial sector and a weaker euro has boosted demand and that allowed him to reach a net profit in the second quarter, well below the consensus, however.

The German conglomerate Siemens Electrical has released an operating profit up 40% for its third fiscal quarter thanks to cost cuts and the weaker euro.

All these new feed more optimism among investors in Europe they appear a little less convinced of the strength of economic recovery in the United States.

The team responsible for global strategy at the UBS bank, raised its recommendation on Europe to "neutral", while she advised previously underweight assets of the region.

UBS said that the Ifo business climate in Germany, a closely watched index, in July recorded its biggest increase in 20 years, growth in gross domestic product in the United Kingdom grew at a rate twice higher than expected second quarter and the results of stress tests performed on the European banks have brought relief.

At the Deutsche Bank economist Gilles Moec wants cautious.

"There is no major change in the table macroeconomic background: we started to slow growth," said he.

Like the European stock markets, Wall Street fell heavily on Tuesday because of a resurgence of fears about the budgetary problems of the eurozone when approaching an important deadline that expects European banks Thursday.

In this concern, which brought down the S & P 500 in a session low of 2010 has added the announcement of the sharp drop in U.S. consumer confidence, a statistic that raises questions about the strength of the recovery U.S. economy.

The Dow Jones 30 industrials surrendered 2.65% or 268.22 points to 9870.30. The S & P 500 is broader, lost 33.33 points, or -3.10%, to 1041.24.The Nasdaq Composite fell on its side of 85.47 points (-3.85%) to 2135.18.

This is the first time since June 9 as the Dow and the Nasdaq finished respectively in the 10,000 and under the 2,200 points while the S & P 500 closed at lowest close since the beginning of the year.

Speakers also noted that the S & P 500 broke through the key threshold 1040.78, which until now was the previous low of 2010, thus raising concerns of a further decline of this index in the short and medium term.

The stock market decline began in Asia, has increased in Europe and has also hit Wall Street, where the financial and industrial stocks were the hardest hit.

The CBOE Volatility Index, also known as "index of fear" has surged 17.69% to 34.13, its highest level since early June

Investors have questioned the soundness of the European banking system before a return of 442 billion euros that banks should proceed with the European Central Bank on Thursday.

U.S. consumer confidence as measured by the index of the employers' organization Conference Board, sank in June after three consecutive months of increases, due to concerns related to employment.

Another sign of concern, the Conference Board has revised downward its leading indicator for China in April: it is up more than 0.3% against 1.7% previously announced.

"Investors are holed up in hiding at the slightest problem. This is not a good sign. They are not being spent – there is no fluidity in the movement of money," said Joe Saluzzi, co-director of trading at Themis Trading.

The KBW banking index plunged 4.43%, with JP Morgan Chase yielding 3.84% to 37.06 dollars, Bank of America 4.4% to 14.57 dollars and Wells Fargo 4.07% at 25 $ 93.

Among the heavy industry, Boeing has lost 6.33% to 63.04 dollars, Caterpillar 5.51% to 60.85 dollars.

The chairman of the Democratic Movement (Modem) Francois Bayrou late Monday about the case Bettencourt, who has "not observed" in France "the glass wall that should separate the private affairs of public affairs" criticizing the "mixture".

See also: Dangerous Liaisons Eric Woerth and Liliane Bettencourt

"Historically, for years in France we did not meet the glass wall that should separate the money matters, private affairs, public affairs," said Mr Bayrou on RTL.

"There is too much complacency, we are constantly in the process of accepting that there is a immixion a mix" between public and private sectors, emphasized the member of the Pyrenees-Atlantiques."There is caution needed when you are in a great public service," he also said about Labour Minister Eric Woerth whose wife works for Florence Liliane Bettencourt.

Pirates of plays published by the website Médiapart Woerth suggested that the couple would have been aware of alleged tax evasion of the heiress of L'Oreal.

In an interview Sunday Mediapart, MEP Eva Joly (Europe Ecology), former judge Financial, said that Mr. Woerth should resign. "It is not unusual to ask a minister to be perfect! (…) In a normal democracy, the resignation is required," she said.

On Saturday, the deputy Arnaud Montebourg PS was also found on the website of the Express that keeping the government of Mr Woerth "prevent that the truth. "We have a budget minister (Mr portfolioWoerth May 2007 to March 2010) at the same time treasurer of the UMP, whose wife works to organize the tax evasion of Mrs. Bettencourt, "he was accused.

A virulence forced Eric Woerth-cons to attack the next day. "Now, enough is enough!" My wife will file a complaint against Mr. Montebourg (…) We can not say anything on anyone, "he blasted the" Grand Rendez-vous " Europe 1-Le Parisien.

"I do not know the finances of Mrs. Bettencourt, I have no information on any tax evasion and I gave no instruction of any kind whatsoever to the tax office, he has also defended in the Journal du Dimanche.

"My wife worked for three years in the company that manages the assets of Mrs Bettencourt. It is not an employee and CEO of this company," said Mr.Woerth, adding that "it's been over a year she wants to leave, of course she is going to leave for reasons of personal disagreement."

Labour Minister, who leads the pension reform, received support from his colleague of Higher Education, Valerie Pecresse, itself cited in bootlegs. She saw "an attempt at destabilization.

On the side of the Elysee, the special adviser Henri Guaino said he imagined "not a single moment" Eric Woerth "may have committed a wrongdoing." "In any event, Ms. Bettencourt has offshore accounts or not and whether or not it tax evasion, I do not see how this relates directly to Eric Woerth," he said on I-Télé .

The gas price for individuals is expected to rise 9.5% on 1 April, Wednesday said a source familiar with the matter in accordance with the application of a new method for calculating their evolution. The Commission for Energy Regulation (CRE) is expected to meet Thursday to consider a proposal to this effect of GDF Suez, the source said, confirming a report in the daily Le Figaro. CRE Suez and GDF have declined comment.

Under the new rules for setting regulated rates, intended to make developments more predictable, the government sets an annual schedules determining the framework within which the price of natural gas. GDF Suez is then responsible for proposing increases or decreases in rates within this framework.CRE approves or rejects the proposal submitted by the private group through a binding opinion.

The role of the CRE is limited to verifying the correct application of the formula for calculating the cost of supply of GDF Suez, which takes into account the level of crude oil prices, oil and exchange rates. The proposed tariffs are regulated mainly by GDF Suez (ex-Gaz de France) but also by 16 local suppliers, such as Gaz de Grenoble, Energy Services Occitan, the Municipal Board of Réole, etc..