News – Business & Economi

The housing market has included nine in the third quarter the prospect of a relapse into recession in the French economy with lower sales and housing starts, according to data released Tuesday by the Ministry of Housing.

More than 26,400 homes were sold in the third quarter, nearly 2,700 more than in the second quarter but 12.9% less than for the corresponding period of 2010.

Of the last four quarters, the number of sales totaled 101,300 or 10.7% less than in the previous four quarters.

A 71,600 homes at the end of the third quarter, the stock of new homes for sale is 14.4% higher than the third quarter of 2010.

After Moody's and Standard and Poor's, the third major rating agency, Fitch said Wednesday that a possible worsening of the crisis in the euro area could threaten the note "triple A" of France.

The return of the French debt to 10 years who had scarcely changed after the publication of this note was then increased to about 3.68% to 16.45, the yield differential with Germany (the "spread") oscillating around 165 basis points. It was over 200 points last week for the first time since the creation of the euro.

"According to Fitch's central scenario, the numbers of French public finances remain consistent with the conservation of its AAA rating," writes the rating agency.

The gross debt of the country in this case could reach the upper limit of the range that Fitch considers consistent with a AAA rating – if this level is temporary and decline thereafter – 90 to 100% of GDP.

"If all of the 158.5 billion euros in France's commitments to the EFSF was disbursed, the gross public debt would reach 98.2% of GDP in 2014, the top of the range compatible with its status as a AAA "Fitch wrote.

"However, based on net debt and if the loans were accounted EFSF (with a discount of 50%) as liquid assets, the debt would peak at just over 80% of GDP in 2014.

In this period of discipline, members of rival imagination to find new fiscal revenues. In pictures, new taxes and cuts tax loopholes included in the proposed Finance Act 2012.

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Seb SA said Tuesday it had been allowed to increase stake in its Chinese subsidiary Zhejiang Supor Co, which will allow the French leader of small appliances to enjoy strong growth in Asia.

The group, which had signed a contract with the founding shareholders of Supor last February, will raise its stake from 51.3% to 71.3% in Supor for about $ 400 million.

The family kept a 12.5% ​​stake, the balance comprising the float.

The Board of Supor, which will remain publicly traded, will not change, headed by Su Xianze.

Seb, entered the Chinese capital in 2007, having realized the operation in the coming weeks.The green light for the operation followed a period of review conducted by the CSRC (Authority of Chinese stock market).

The action of the French group has closed up 1.07% to 59.41 euros on the Paris Stock Exchange, giving a market capitalization of 2.97 billion. It was down 23.6% since the beginning of the year.

In Berlin, the worlds of energy and finance very seriously discuss the creation of a foundation that would take over the management of German nuclear power plants to improve the investment capacity of major operators in the renewable. A nuclear power plant in Bavaria.

The revelation of the existence of a project to create a "bad bank" to manage public the twilight of the 17 German nuclear power plants causes a controversy surrounding the funding of the output of nuclear power. In its edition of Friday, October 7, the business daily Handelsblatt confirmed that it held the plans for such a project. Developed by the investment bank Lazard, it is currently under discussion between government and big energy companies.According to the newspaper, the Bad Bank would take the form of a foundation to which we would transfer the management of power plants owned by EON, RWE, Vattenfall and EnBW, the four major German operators of nuclear power. The ultimate goal would be to delegate the responsibility of dismantling the foundation to restore financial credibility of their owners and thus increase their ability to invest in renewable energy.

The dismantling will cost 28 billion

The plan, which is still called "secret", poses the problem of financing the abandonment of nuclear energy in Germany. This abandonment, which requires to increase the share of renewables in the energy mix currently 20% German and 35 in 10 years, should cost around 250 billion euros, according to estimates by the state bank KfW.In ten years, Germany will therefore have to adapt its grid to the mode of decentralized production of renewable energy. Expensive sites such as strengthening the north-south but also the construction of many regional lines to low voltage are on the program, as well as the construction of new gas power plants and cogeneration and the erection of multiple wind farms and PV. Meanwhile, companies but also individuals should invest more in equipment and housing less voracious.Moreover, the cost of phasing out nuclear power plants was assessed at least 18 billion euros, which will add at least 10 billion for reprocessing and storage of radioactive fuel not included.

The development bank KfW has provided 100 billion euros over the next 5 years to meet the needs of corporate finance. But they and their shareholders, will also participate to a large extent these investments. However, the financial position of the four major energy producers in Germany has not improved since Angela Merkel urged the country to the output of nuclear power. The cessation of all nuclear power plants by 2022 will deprive them of lucrative profits. They also will have to invest heavily in non-polluting power plants and the production of renewable energy.

A very controversial Bed Bank

The predicted fall in profitability is not made to attract investors. Already, rating agencies have downgraded to EON and RWE, which in future will have to pay more for the money. Hence the idea of ​​the foundation. In the scenario described, operators freely transfer their plants in the foundation. It would become responsible for their management and their dismantling and storage of fuel. In return, the Foundation would benefit from the income generated by the plant operating until 2022. Nearly 15 billion euros. Or 13 billion euros less than the cost of decommissioning.The difference would be borne by the state in exchange for a recognition of debts that can not be deleted if these companies are investing in renewable much higher.

This is only for the moment that the outline of an unofficial plan but some find difficult to avoid. Michael Vassiliadis, president of the powerful union IG BCE Energy, believes it will be difficult to meet the challenge of phasing out nuclear power by passing capacity of large energy companies. But Ms. Bärbel Höhn, vice president of the Bundestag parliamentary group environmentalist, does not share this view: "I have rarely seen a plan as naive and transparent.This project led to the foundation of the risks that outsourcing will return to offer a lot of money to EON and RWE, "she said by stating that the plant operators had long been provisioned as are needed to decommissioning. As for Hermann Albers, President of Federation of the main companies in the wind (Bundesverband Windenergie), it considers that these plans are outrageous because again, "they are negotiated in secret" and "it is the consumer who will costs ":" The turning point energy can do without monopolistic structures. Its interest lies in the fact that it will promote a decentralized supply and promote competition, "he said.

Financial markets of the Old World still hesitant on Tuesday morning. They fall one after the other, after all, however, opened up. European stock markets lost between 2.44 and 0.21%, to 10.15.

European stock markets remain extremely volatile on Tuesday morning. After starting up, they dive back one after the other. Paris gives 2.44% to 10.15, Frankfurt 0.21% 0.30% Milan, London and Madrid 0.71% 0.35%. While few minutes after the opening, Frankfurt gained 1.6%, London and Paris 0.78% 0.66% and 2% took Milan and Madrid 1.24%.

The announcement of a possible intervention of China on the European debt market appeared to calm the fears of some investors. Italy is in fact in talks with Chinese sovereign wealth fund CIC about the buyback, according to press reports.

But the Greek case and fears about U.S. growth continues to angst investors and banks to shake the very battered in recent sessions, due to their exposure to sovereign debt. The idea of ​​a default Helvetic returned in force in the financial markets. It has even been suggested directly by the German Minister of Economy Philipp Rösler, in an interview with Die Welt newspaper.

"Avoid default uncontrolled"

Tuesday, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, however, felt the need to "avoid any uncontrolled process in the euro area", referring to a bankruptcy of Greece as it is discussed with emphasis in Germany these days."The first priority is to avoid a default unchecked, because it would affect not only Greece, and because the risk that affects us all, or at least many other countries, is very high," Detailed Chancellor in a radio interview Inforadio.

The NYSE has to when she rebounded late in the session Monday. The Dow Jones finally won 0.63% and the Nasdaq 1.10%. In Asia, Tokyo ended Tuesday's session up 0.95% due to bargain hunting, after the Nikkei closing at its lowest for two and a half years yesterday. Monday, major European stock markets had yielded between 1.60 and 4%, and recorded two consecutive sessions of decline.

It is "imperative" to implement the decisions taken by Heads of State and Government of the euro zone in July to resolve the debt crisis of the Greek said Monday Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the Central Bank (ECB).

European stock markets were down sharply again Monday because of growing doubts about the application of the support plan for Greece developed at the summit on 21 July.

"It is clear that we absolutely need an immediate and imperative that all these decisions are implemented immediately," said Jean-Claude Trichet at a conference of the Institut Montaigne, a "think tank" in Paris.

"One of the strongest recommendations," he said, "is to implement the most comprehensive and rigorous as possible, so no doubt, decisions which have been taken."

The plan of July 21, supposed to give the euro area financial and institutional resources that would enable it to avoid contagion Greek throughout the euro area, must, to come out, be ratified by parliament each of the signatory countries.

But the political obstacles to such ratification have multiplied in recent weeks.Finland wishes and its contribution to the plan is guaranteed by Greek and Athens, Slovakia, the vote of the parliament could only take place in December.

These uncertainties prevent an immediate strengthening of the financial resources of the European Financial Stability (EFSF), which must be able to buy government bonds to support countries in need.

"WE ARE HALFWAY"

Jean-Claude Trichet said more broadly in the global goal to increase "resilience" of individual entities, financial institutions, banks and financial system, "we are half way" .

"We see that we have made significant progress," he said, citing the progress made in the G20, the Financial Stability Forum and the Basel rules on capital III of financial institutions under discussion.

"All our experience leads us to believe that we must implement what was decided and certainly not think that could shake the hand, it would probably be the biggest mistake we can do," he said.

"There are still many things to do, particularly at the Basle Committee, the Financial Stability Forum and the G20 level, particularly with regard to systemic global institutions and national and non-banks."

Jean-Claude Trichet referred again to the slopes for the medium-and long-term European governance.

It is thus, in his opinion, possible to imagine the future that decisions are taken "from the center of the single market to single currency" when a country is unable to implement the recommendations persistent.

Even further in the future, it is possible to imagine the creation of a European confederation, with a confederal government, including a European Minister of Finance.

Jean-Claude Trichet on the other hand raised the issue "important" the need for continuing structural reforms in Europe to increase the growth potential of the continent, citing in particular the Lisbon agenda for growth.

Failures and start-ups fell by 3.5% and 21% in the first half in France over the same period last year, Coface said on Monday.

The decrease is due creations, according to the credit insurer, for a lesser interest in the status of entrepreneur.

The number of failures has reached 32,655, a level that is far from the pre-crisis, when the failures did not exceed 30,000 a semester, said Coface.

Only five sectors are increasing the number of failures, including transportation (9%), food (7%) and distribution (5%). Pharmaceutical, energy and agriculture and fisheries recorded in contrast to declines of more than 20%.

The number of jobs threatened by bankruptcy decreases by 7% over the first half of 2010.The failure of a company threatened 3.3 jobs on average in late June against 3.5 in late 2010.

The half saw a decrease of 19.6% in the number of creations, with nearly 320,000 new entities created, including 21% for businesses, which represent 85% of all creations.

The British advertising group Aegis is confident about its future after announcing strong organic growth in the first half and confirmed an annual perspective is now reserved.

The group, which in July sold its market research arm Synovate to French Ipsos for 525 million pounds (595 million), recorded organic growth of its turnover by 7.3% driven by strong performances, particularly in North America.

The major advertising groups showed solid performance in 2010 and 2011, as companies, providing most of the time their advertising budgets on an annual basis, continued to invest despite the turbulence in financial markets to protect their market share .

However, WPP and Publicis competitors have both warned that the year 2012 could prove more elusive.

Aegis has maintained an organic growth target for 2011 at least equivalent to 5.8% observed in 2010 and also provides for improved operating margins.

The sale of Synovate, which should ultimately bring 505 million pounds according to analysts, will also be fastened to the end of September, said the group, which plans to donate 200 million pounds to shareholders.

"In the medium term visibility is still relatively limited because the macroeconomic uncertainty remains," said general manager Jerry Buhlmann group."However, we remain positive for the future of Aegis, to be more concentrated (on its core business), especially with regard to the strength of our activities over the past 18 months."

The title gained 2.14% to 0830 GMT, valuing the company at about 1.8 billion pounds.

The Tokyo Stock Exchange finished Monday up%, taking in turn the path of recovery from the European and U.S. markets late last week.

The Nikkei gained 122.69 points to 9,086.41 and the Topix, broader took 8.93 points (1.16%) to 777.12.

GDP figures, published earlier today in Japan, reported a smaller than anticipated contraction in the economy, with a decline of 0.3% against -0.7% expected and 0.9% in quarter above.

As the Osaka Securities Exchange, the operator of the Osaka Securities Exchange, finished up 8.6% to 410,500 yen.The daily Yomiuri Shimbun reported on Saturday that the Tokyo Stock Exchange plans to become the purchaser via a takeover bid.

Toyota, Honda and Sony have outperformed the market by winning respectively 2.91%, 3.43% and 3.93%.