The victory of the socialist candidate for the French presidential election of Nicolas Sarkozy is the eleventh leader of the ousted euro area since the outbreak of the crisis and the implementation of austerity policies imposed by Germany and aimed at the curb. 

"I'm sure in many European countries Caa was a relief, a hope, that finally the idea of ​​austerity could no longer be inevitable "said Francois Hollande, in a speech at his election night.

"That's what I say as soon as possible to our European partners and first in Germany," he said.

Francois Hollande has been negotiating a pact designed to complement growth of the fiscal pact, signed in early March by 25 of the 27 countries of the European Union, a of his campaign themes. 

His election of Francois Hollande with 51.6% against 48.4% in the outgoing President Nicolas Sarkozy, argued that German Chancellor Angela Merkel does not lift all the political uncertainties that will last at least until the legislatures of 10 and 17 June

In Greece, the results of parliamentary elections confirm the expected scenario of a sharp fall in two main formations.

The conservative New Democracy and PASOK Socialists, who run alternately in decades, pay their support for draconian austerity measures taken since early 2010 in exchange for international financial assistance. 

SETBACKS FOR MERKEL

The breakthrough of the Coalition of the Radical Left hostile to the austerity and the entry of small parties in parliament, whose far-right "Golden Dawn", will make very difficult to find a majority and likely to fuel speculation about a renegotiation of the latest bailout plan or to an output of Greece in the euro area.

Fears deemed excessive by the economists of the investment bank Barclays Capital who point out that the Greeks remain overwhelmingly favorable to the euro but do not rule out political instability that would require the new elections later this year. 

"The risk is that non-European investors found a mistrust vis-à-vis the euro area rather marked," however, warns Philippe Waechter, an economist of the company ; Management Natixis Asset Management.

In Germany, the Christian Democrats (CDU) suffered another setback in losing the electoral state of Schleswig-Holstein region where the formation of Merkel saved her worst score since 1950.

The vote next week in the Land of North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany's most populous nation, will also be closely watched to assess the popularity of the policy conducted by the Chancellor and the accession of German voters to European solidarity. 

The partial municipal Italy, which will continue Monday, are a test on more than nine million voters, or 20% of the electorate, the government expert Mario Monti, again full cure austerity.

The first election of the post-Berlusconi give the measure of the distrust of the Italians against their political leaders to a year of parliamentary elections in May 2013.

The electoral cycle in May will end with the Irish referendum on the new European fiscal pact, already ratified by three EU countries including Greece.

SHORT RESPITE

After a short respite allowed by the injection of more than one.000 billion euros of liquidity between late December and early March by the European Central Bank, tensions on sovereign debt are quickly reappeared.

Investors are worried because of the growing political and social pressure against austerity plans which they fear above all that they do not favor a relapse into recession economies most weakened by the crisis and with them the entire euro area.

If Spain, officially fallen into recession in first quarter, is in sight, the gap between the wages offered by the sovereign debt of Germany and that of almost all ; other European countries has increased in recent weeks. 

European policymakers have however begun to recognize and formally accept a lesson of economic history that no country wants out of a debt crisis by focusing only on austerity, this strategy has always resulted in either a depression or a default.

From the European Council in January and more at the March, the EU officials had stressed the need to complement fiscal consolidation by "measures determined ; are to stimulate growth and employment ". 

They had then discussed several tracks, as a better mobilization of structural funds, a means of strengthening the European Investment Bank or the possibility of bond issues at European level in order facilitate private financing of major projects, referring to the definition of terms in June of that support growth.

The willingness of the new French president throughout his campaign to promote European growth initiative in this context had met with a favorable in both countries weakened ; s like Italy and the European Commission but also in Germany and even the European Central Bank (ECB). 

Its intention to renegotiate the pact budget has however met with strong opposition, especially from Germany who does not intend to return to the priority given to fiscal consolidation.

His call for a more active role for the ECB to stimulate the economy through lower interest rates or direct loans to countries in difficulty also faces hostility from Germany.

POSSIBLE COMPROMISE

Even before his election, Francois Hollande, however inflected speech suggesting that the renegotiation of the pact would be part of budget negotiations with its European partners. 

The president-elect has also been careful to avoid referring to possible Eurobonds, of which Germany does not want to hear because they would constitute a first step towards pooling of European public debt that Berlin rejects.

Francois Hollande now prefers to discuss project requirements, an expression consistent with that used by other heads of state and government of the EU.

A compromise is therefore possible, but the size and financing of a possible growth strategy remain unclear. 

A mounting tensions on sovereign debt would leave the ECB in the immediate front line but also exacerbate the pressure for a stronger commitment on his part to alleviate the costs of funding all States in the euro area and encourage growth.

If he felt that the euro area needed a "Growth Pact", the ECB president also stressed that support for the activity should not be detrimental fiscal discipline.

"Recent comments by Mario Draghi, defending the idea of ​​a growth strategy implemented by European governments is primarily a way to avoid a debate on the mandate of the ECB could be refocused on growth, "say the economists and Exane BNP Paribas.

Talanx owns 50.2% of the third global reinsurer.

Hannover said Wednesday he planned to pay a dividend of 2.10 euros per share on the results of 2011 against 2.30 euros in 2010, when net income was integrated ; a capital gain tax.

Net income for 2011 is 606 million euros, according to preliminary results published on 13 February and well above its target of at least 500 million .

After three sessions of declines, the Nikkei index is back above the 9,700 point mark, gaining 192.90 points to 9,768.96 and the Topix broader, took 13.45 Points (1.63%) to 836.16.

The trend was also supported by a Wall Street Journal suggesting that the Fed is considering a new approach to bond buybacks.

Values, the technology has benefited from a presentation by Apple's new version of its iPad tablet.

Toshiba took 1.77% and 4.1% Electronics Renesas.

The title fell by 5.16% to 42.97 euros at 8:22 GMT, while the Dax gave up 0.69% and the sector index Stoxx 600 Basic Resources yielded 1.47%.

Salzgitter said he expects this year to at least stable sales and a positive taxable income, while explaining that it would be "difficult" to do as well in 2011.

Last year, pretax profit rose to 201.6 million euros against 49 million in 2010, a result consistent with its forecast in Reuters poll, which gave 196 million . 

ThyssenKrupp, the German number one steel, has plunged into the red last three months of 2011 and was told last month unable to provide reliable predictions for all of its 2011 fiscal year -2012, which ends in September, due to economic uncertainties.

Over the whole week, the CAC 40 gained 0.98%:

* Values ​​BANK supported the coast, always carried by the second massive injection of liquidity to three years of the ECB, especially as their valuations remain low despite their strong rebound since the first of LTRO mid-December.

SOCIETE GENERALE took 1.34% to 25.395 euros, Credit Agricole 4.945% to 0.86 euros and BNP Paribas 1.50% to 37.915 euros. 

Dexia has won 5.32%, largest increase in the SBF 120, to 0.297 euro. Dexia Credit Local, its French subsidiary, launched a takeover offer for 700 million euros of subordinated notes issued in November 2005.

* Veolia Environnement won 4.74%, largest increase in the CAC 40, to 11.050 euros, having continued its flight after a gain of 14.86% yesterday in anticipation of a recovery group of utilities.

WestLB raised its recommendation from "neutral" to "accumulate".

Its major competitor SUEZ ENVIRONMENT has won 3.51% to 11.800 euros.

* Vivendi has lost 0.97% to 14.360 euros, the second biggest drop in the CAC 40 index, behind EADS (-1.43% to 27.650 euros). The title had already fallen by over 10% yesterday on the prospect of two turbulent years ahead. JPMorgan cut its rating to "overweight" to "neutral". Barclays, Cheuvreux, Deutsche Bank and Nomura have lowered their price target.

* AREVA has gained 4.73% to 20.020 euros, despite mixed results in 2011, after confirming its targets for the period 2012-2016 in a difficult global context.

* NEOPOST rose 1.77% to 52.420 euros after a turnover in 2011 better than expected and the prospect of further growth this year.

Gilbert Dupont raised its target price from 55.60 to 57.90 euros.

* IPSOS, lost 3.32%, largest drop in the SBF 120, to 26.170 euros, having continued to decline from the previous day (-1.33%) after a disappointing forecast operating margin rational 2012, of the order of 10%. Cheuvreux is no longer for sale.

* Technicolor has won 5.73%, largest increase in the SBF 120, to 2.305 euros, while Barclays raised its price target to 2.19 euros.

The Nikkei gained 41.57 points to 9,595.57 and the Topix broader took 3.95 points (0.48%) to 829.35.

"The results of PPR are excellent and we are confident for 2012," said chief financial officer, Jean-François Palus, during a conference call.

The group that owns Gucci, Puma, Fnac and Redcats, saw sales increase by 11.1% last year to 12.23 billion euros, a figure slightly higher Interior to the Reuters poll of 12.13 billion. At constant exchange rates, sales growth stood at 9.3%.

The increase in turnover has been hampered by the poor performance against the Fnac, whose sales fell 3.6%, while those in the luxury division jumped 22.2 % and that of Puma significantly accelerated (10.5%).

On luxury, the CFO said that January sales were as good or better than those of the fourth quarter, which signed an organic growth of 18.6%, significantly exceeded expectations of analysts polled by Reuters (17%).

The annual operating profit rose 17% to 1.60 billion euros, slightly above consensus ($ 1.55 billion). 

For 2012, the group said anticipating growth "supported" by its turnover and a further increase in its results.

PPR accounts no longer include figures of Redcats, a subsidiary of distance selling, nor those of FNAC in Italy, these assets are to be sold and which, under accounting standards be deconsolidated from the perimeter.

Net income, up 26.4% in spring 1.05 billion euros and the proposed dividend is unchanged at 3.50 euros.

More than 26,400 homes were sold in the third quarter, nearly 2,700 more than in the second quarter but 12.9% less than for the corresponding period of 2010.

Of the last four quarters, the number of sales totaled 101,300 or 10.7% less than in the previous four quarters.

A 71,600 homes at the end of the third quarter, the stock of new homes for sale is 14.4% higher than the third quarter of 2010.

The return of the French debt to 10 years who had scarcely changed after the publication of this note was then increased to about 3.68% to 16.45, the yield differential with Germany (the "spread") oscillating around 165 basis points. It was over 200 points last week for the first time since the creation of the euro.

"According to Fitch's central scenario, the numbers of French public finances remain consistent with the conservation of its AAA rating," writes the rating agency.

The gross debt of the country in this case could reach the upper limit of the range that Fitch considers consistent with a AAA rating – if this level is temporary and decline thereafter – 90 to 100% of GDP.

"If all of the 158.5 billion euros in France's commitments to the EFSF was disbursed, the gross public debt would reach 98.2% of GDP in 2014, the top of the range compatible with its status as a AAA "Fitch wrote.

"However, based on net debt and if the loans were accounted EFSF (with a discount of 50%) as liquid assets, the debt would peak at just over 80% of GDP in 2014.

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