News – Business & Economi

After Moody's and Standard and Poor's, the third major rating agency, Fitch said Wednesday that a possible worsening of the crisis in the euro area could threaten the note "triple A" of France.

The return of the French debt to 10 years who had scarcely changed after the publication of this note was then increased to about 3.68% to 16.45, the yield differential with Germany (the "spread") oscillating around 165 basis points. It was over 200 points last week for the first time since the creation of the euro.

"According to Fitch's central scenario, the numbers of French public finances remain consistent with the conservation of its AAA rating," writes the rating agency.

The gross debt of the country in this case could reach the upper limit of the range that Fitch considers consistent with a AAA rating – if this level is temporary and decline thereafter – 90 to 100% of GDP.

"If all of the 158.5 billion euros in France's commitments to the EFSF was disbursed, the gross public debt would reach 98.2% of GDP in 2014, the top of the range compatible with its status as a AAA "Fitch wrote.

"However, based on net debt and if the loans were accounted EFSF (with a discount of 50%) as liquid assets, the debt would peak at just over 80% of GDP in 2014.

The one, who runs short of personal cards often face losses in the form of loss of new business orders. Running out of business cards is the worst situation one can get in the commercial world.

The President of the European Central Bank (ECB), Jean-Claude Trichet, said that the crisis of sovereign debt in Europe is not over and it is too early to estimate the lights returned to green.

In an interview with German newspaper Bild am Sonntag-, Trichet said, however, confident in the ability of governments in the euro area to restore financial stability.

According to him, this requires that the Stability Pact is comprehensive and is implemented in a manner vigorous.

For the head of the ECB, the agreement reached this week by leaders of the European Union to enter into practice in a very precise and fast."

"The decisions taken at the summit (this week) must be applied with precise and coordinated fashion. The leaders of governments in the euro area have a program. Now the hard work is waiting for governments and the European Commission," insists he said.

"A rapid and full implementation of decisions is now absolutely crucial," said he. "A rapid and complete promulgation of these decisions is now absolutely crucial," he insists.

In this period of discipline, members of rival imagination to find new fiscal revenues. In pictures, new taxes and cuts tax loopholes included in the proposed Finance Act 2012.

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The European Commission gave on Thursday, with the revision of the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID) and market abuse (MAD), launched a very heavy fall in the regulation of the finance sector .

Other texts to be published in the coming weeks include the third draft of the regulation of rating agencies, a European framework for the management of bank failures or closer supervision of the audit activity, not to mention ongoing negotiations on derivatives and the transposition of European agreements known as Basel III on bank capital.

The new rules on markets in financial instruments cover both the activities of banks in terms of brokerage, consulting, trading, portfolio management and underwriting services.

They also regulate the operation of traditional exchanges and other trading platforms – also called "multilateral trading facilities."

The rules on market abuse for their prey to cases of insider trading and market manipulation.

Eager to get tough practices, the Commission proposes a non-binding framework calling on member states to integrate criminal sanctions in their national legislation for people found guilty of such abuses.

In a statement, the Commissioner for the Internal Market, Michel Barnier, has insisted that the legislation met the market developments in recent years.

"The financial markets have to work to the real economy and not the other way (…) The crisis has shown that certain activities and financial products reached a degree of complexity and opacity changes as have become indispensable" , he said.

MARKET DEVELOPMENTS

Here is a list of the main proposals contained in these texts:

* Outside the MTFs and regulated markets, "organized systems of negotiation," in which particular exchange traded derivatives contracts will now be covered by European regulations.

* Algorithmic trading and the high frequency will be better framed to take into account the systemic risk they represent.

* The text on markets in financial instruments will also seek to increase the transparency of trading on equity markets, including the "dark pools".Bond markets and derivatives too should meet the rules of transparency.

* Supervision and oversight of derivatives markets on commodities will be increased. In coordination with the new supervisor European markets, national supervisors may prohibit certain products when they undermine investor protection, financial stability or proper functioning of markets.Operators have an obligation to report their positions and position limits will be introduced in case of market disruption.

* The rules for portfolio management, investment advice and offers of complex financial products are also strengthened.

* In terms of market abuse, the new regulation also seeks to adapt itself to the recent market now covering instruments traded on alternative platforms and OTC.

* Regulators will have increased access to information needed to detect and punish market abuse.The latter will be able to require disclosure of data from the telcos and access to buildings or private documents when a suspected market abuse.

* Finally, the range of sanctions is itself also revised upwards. Fines will not be less than the benefit obtained from the market abuse and may be up to twice that amount. The Commission also proposes to harmonize the national sanctions in this matter by criminalizing the countries where they are not considered as such.

Seb SA said Tuesday it had been allowed to increase stake in its Chinese subsidiary Zhejiang Supor Co, which will allow the French leader of small appliances to enjoy strong growth in Asia.

The group, which had signed a contract with the founding shareholders of Supor last February, will raise its stake from 51.3% to 71.3% in Supor for about $ 400 million.

The family kept a 12.5% ​​stake, the balance comprising the float.

The Board of Supor, which will remain publicly traded, will not change, headed by Su Xianze.

Seb, entered the Chinese capital in 2007, having realized the operation in the coming weeks.The green light for the operation followed a period of review conducted by the CSRC (Authority of Chinese stock market).

The action of the French group has closed up 1.07% to 59.41 euros on the Paris Stock Exchange, giving a market capitalization of 2.97 billion. It was down 23.6% since the beginning of the year.

Erste Group Bank said on Monday forecast a loss of 700 to 800 million euros in 2011, due both to past depreciation of the Romanian and Hungarian subsidiaries and reducing its exposure to the euro zone, which makes plunge under the Austrian bank.

By 10:30 GMT, action Erste Group fell by 13.07% to 17.99 euros while the index grouping the European banking stocks were unchanged.

The number two industry in Central and Eastern Europe also said that postponing the repayment of public funds and that it would pay no dividend for 2011.

"It's obviously disappointing news.We believe today's announcement is likely to trigger a cycle of lowering note and renewed concerns about the capital, in the light of the deteriorating business environment in Eastern Europe " commented GFI Research Institute.

Erste said that Hungarian law allows customers to repay loans taken in foreign currency at lower rates than the market would result in a loss of 500 million euros for its local subsidiary, which will thus 600 million euros of fresh capital.

The other Austrian bank Raiffeisen also plans to inject new capital into its Hungarian subsidiary as a result of legislation passed in Budapest.

In Romania, an economic recovery slower than expected will have the effect to Erste impairment pre-tax 700 million.

Erste also said to have reduced its exposure to sovereign debt of Greece, Portugal, Spain, Ireland and Italy at 600 million euros at end September, 95% of its exposure was valued at market value.

She said its Tier 1 ratio "core" would remain unchanged at 9.2%, operating income contributing to the compensation of special items.

The group's management said they do not need to raise additional capital or to receive from the State to ensure its compliance "Basel III".

The French car market has limited its decline in September thanks to buoyant demand from individuals helped by aggressive marketing offers manufacturers a performance bodes well for the entire year if the economy does not deteriorate more.

The new car registrations fell by 1.4% year on year last month to 167,631 units, according to figures from the Committee of French Automobile Manufacturers (CCFA).

In the first nine months of the year, the market still continues hex in positive territory (+0.2%), but continues to nibble advance acquired in early 2011 with the latest effects of scrappage.In August, it was up 0.4% since January.

"The market is slowly declining, but he resists, particularly at the request of individuals," said a spokesman for the CCFA, reached by telephone."For the full year, we now think it will be better than we anticipated -8/-10% that far, but we are recalculating the forecast."

The spokesman added that the anticipated decline in France in 2011 could be below 8%, but adding that corporate demand was "a great unknown for the predictions," because of questions about current economic conditions.

"BACK TO NORMAL TO CONFIRM"

Bernard Cambier, commercial director of Renault France, told Reuters that also performance in September for optimism for the French market.

"We could have been legitimately concerned about the economic and financial benefits for the consumer, but there is no impact for the moment," he said by telephone."Today, we are in a market -3/-4% and a surprise is not excluded."

At the auto show in Frankfurt last month, the commercial director of Renault Jérôme Stoll had found that the French market in 2011, waited down 4% to 6% would be closer to 4%.

The firm Xerfi, which provides a decrease of 5% of the market in 2011, stressed that the stability of nine months was obtained primarily through "aggressive policies of manufacturers", but the unknowns hanging over the rest of the year .

"The business climate is deteriorating with the excitement of the sovereign debt crisis in Europe and cures of austerity ahead in European countries, our major trading partners," writes Philip Gattet in a note."Businesses have an obsession: to preserve their cash and therefore reduce costs, including automobiles."

"The coming months will be more difficult, whether it be late 2011 or early 2012, mainly because of unfavorable comparisons," agrees Flavien Neuvy, Director of the Cetelem of the car. "But the market is very resistant, the return to normality is confirmed."

Renault and Dacia REBOUND

Illustration of this effect after the exceptional standards of public support, importers continue to gain ground.

The scrapping particular had supported the French manufacturers, specialized in small cars. In September, registrations of foreign companies increased by 5.4% against a fall of 6.2% for the hexagonal groups.Nissan (30.8%) and the German BMW (21.2%) and Volkswagen (14.9%) included from their game last month.

French side, Peugeot is the only (-25.3%), while Citroen saw its registrations fall by 9.4%, -18.4% for the PSA. Both brands have experienced group in September of supply problems live, but no explanation for the drop in sales last month was immediately available from the manufacturer.

Renault has for its part a rebound of 8.7% in registrations, sign of the return to normal by the already mentioned group in component shortages of diesel engines that have sealed sales months at a time.The diamond brand saw its registrations increase by 9% and the group's low cost brand, Dacia, rose 6.3%.

"The portfolio of orders is high because we can see now finally delivered," said Bernard Cambier. "And we still have 100,000 cars in its portfolio, two months of delivery."

In utilities, the registration of light vehicles, a barometer of local economic activity, fell 6.3% in September, while those of commercial vehicles, a reflection of trade over longer distances, increased by 25 9%.

The left won Sunday for the first time under the Fifth Republic by an absolute majority by winning the 25 extra seats it needed, seven months before the presidential election in France. View from the Senate at the Palais du Luxembourg

The left won 265 Sunday in September 2011 a historic victory in Senate elections by toggling the Second Chamber of Parliament in his camp, for the first time of the Fifth Republic, causing a political upheaval in seven months of présidentiellme. "For the first time, the Senate knows alternating" said the boss very moved senators PS, Jean-Pierre Bel. While all the results were not yet arrived, he announced that the left had "175 senators, that is to say beyond the majority". "The change is underway," he added.François Hollande, a candidate for the PS primary, leading in the polls, saw "a breakdown of the system Sarkozy", "prescient" in 2012.

As in the day, the results are severe for the majority who have fallen. The Minister of the City, Maurice Leroy, beaten, won an eighth seat on the left in Paris where the UMP holds only two senators. A gain of one seat to the left in the President's own Department of the Senate UMP Gérard Larcher. Loiret, Isère, Nord, Pas de Calais, Hauts-de-Seine, Val de Marne, Oise, Manche, Pyrénées Orientales … the list of departments where the left rose grows signing a very strong push for the opposition. "More than two senators UMP in Paris is a historical and political defeat," he triumphed Anne Hidalgo, Deputy PS first mayor of Paris, Bertrand Delanoe.Pierre Charon, suspended from the UMP to dissent and still elected, made a triumphant arrival in the Senate.

Progresses across the left

The re-election in the first round in the Loiret department traditionally right out of Senator Jean-Pierre Sueur and that, in the Morbihan, the outgoing Herviaux Odette, also PS, gave the signal for the win at midday . In the wake of victory in the Pyrenees-Orientale President of the Regional Council of Languedoc-Roussillon, "frêchiste" Christian Bourquin confirmed the trend.This is "a historical progression to the left and an unquestionable sanction for the UMP," said the PS first secretary of Acting, Harlem Désir, came to the Senate shortly after the primary candidate for the PS and Martine Aubry that of François Hollande.

This victory is particularly favorable for the latter, a large majority of senators voted for PS having the member of Corrèze. Has lost the right departments since it held almost always as the Lozere. "The left is progressing everywhere, you feel a groundswell," assured of Public Sénat, the Socialist Party national secretary in charge of elections, Christopher Borgel. It is a defeat all the more important that there is "a denial of the right of the electors," added Michel Delebarre, Mayor of Dunkirk and PS top of the list in the North where the left won a seat and missed the sixth to one vote.Gérard Longuet ministers (Defence) and Chantal Jouanno (Sport) were elected.

At seven months of the presidential defeat sounds like a very bad signal to President Nicolas Sarkozy. Saturday will be the election of the President of the Senate and a majority of the left should result in a leftist president. Catherine Tasca should try his luck against Jean-Pierre Bel, which theoretically should succeed the perch to Mr. Larcher. The left Sunday's success to his victories in recent local elections (municipal, regional, cantonal). The right wing has suffered from its strong divisions and strong discontent of local officials, who have unwelcome territorial reform and consolidation of Commons forced march led by the prefects.

Representatives of small and medium sized French companies remain alert to changes in credit conditions, they warned Tuesday after a meeting with banks Tuesday to the Ministry of Economy.

The fear of a credit crunch, a danger often referred to as the English "credit crunch" has increased in recent days against a backdrop of falling bank stocks on the stock market and worsening crisis of sovereign debt.

"We are very vigilant," he told Reuters Etienne Bernard, chairman of SOHO-SME-ETI MEDEF, the French employers' organization first.

"In early September, we find, by clear feedback from the field, as banks ask lots of questions" for entrepreneurs, including their need or not unused credit lines, he added. "This questioning creates some anxiety."

Indicators presented by the Bank of France show a healthy distribution of credit, at least until July. But more recent data are not yet available.

"An annual growth of credit to SMEs beyond 4.8% was recorded in July," the Ministry of Economy in a statement."During this period, compared with the rest of the euro area, growth in credit to all businesses in France is much more dynamic (+4.5% against +1.6%)."

At the meeting, the Secretary of State for Small Business, "Frederic Lefebvre asked the representatives of banks to the financing of small and micro businesses a top priority," the statement said.

French Banking Federation (FBF) has ensured that banks were heavily involved with businesses.

"French banks have confirmed that they were doing their outreach, especially for SOHO / SME, a priority.They are determined to continue to provide funding for the economy as they have always done, "says the FBF in a statement.

The professional craft Union (UPA) has meanwhile welcomed the government intervention "to prevent a drying up of credit in small amounts."

She said in a statement that "loans of small amounts, often less than 25,000 euros, are the fuel companies."

"Remove that access to credit would sacrifice many companies on the altar of the crisis. A suicidal act when we know that crafts and local shops are among the sectors that have best weathered the crisis of 2008 and who saved many jobs, "continues the UPA.

The German Constitutional Court will decide in early September on the constitutionality of the contribution of Germany plans to help Europe to Greece, Ireland and Portugal, a decision that could limit the flexibility of Berlin in the management the debt crisis that has shaken the euro area.

The Court in Karlsruhe said in a statement it will make September 7 at 8:00 GMT its decision after examining three complaints filed in July by six Eurosceptics.

The plaintiffs, five German university and a member of the conservative party CSU, believe that the plans of aid granted to Greece, Ireland and Portugal with the support of Berlin violate the German Basic Law and the European treaties, in especially a provision that a State may not be bailing out by others ("no bail out clause").

Five of the complainants had already, in the 1990s, tried unsuccessfully to the German Constitutional Court to prevent the introduction of the single European currency.

The German government insists that the participation of Berlin to the rescue of the most indebted countries in the euro area was done legally.

"I am confident that the decision of the Constitutional Court will confirm that we have violated neither the Constitution nor the European treaties," he reiterated Saturday the German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble.

Legal experts consider unlikely that the court in Karlsruhe decided to block German participation in the loans to countries in debt, but expect that judges impose conditions for granting new aid to states in the euro area.

The Court may require that such contributions to the Berlin European mechanism for financial stability – which will manage the bailout fund in 2013 – in the future are subject to a vote of the German parliament.

With the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the EU approved since last year of financial aid to Greece, Ireland and Portugal totaling 273 billion euros. Another plan decided to Athens last month provides some 109 billion euros in state aid.

Part of the German public opinion has recently offended by these bailouts, accusing its beneficiaries to have too long been living beyond their means.The current case in Karlsruhe gave German Chancellor Angela Merkel an argument over his hard line in managing the debt crisis in the euro area.

Germany has found it unnecessary to reinforce the existing European Financial Stability Fund and opposed the creation of Euro-bonds, while several European countries and financial markets increasing calls to create these bonds common to all the euro area.